#美国经济状况 According to the data, market expectations for a Fed rate cut in December have risen significantly, with the current probability reaching 82.7%. This signal is positive for risk assets, driving the Nasdaq up by 2.69%. Bitcoin also briefly broke above $89,000, indicating a clear improvement in market sentiment. Combined with QCP’s analysis, open interest in bullish options in the derivatives market at year-end remains higher than for bearish options, and leveraged long positions have been cleared out, reducing short-term downside risk. I believe close attention should be paid to upcoming US retail data, core PCE, and other economic indicators, as well as ETF fund flows—these factors will determine whether Bitcoin can stabilize and continue to rise. Investors are advised to remain cautiously optimistic and monitor price movements in the $85,000-$200,000 range.