The recent market fluctuations are indeed very typical. The previous cycle was a textbook-level swing trend, and although the current wave yesterday didn't change much in terms of positions, its nature is completely different—that's the key difference.
In a ranging market, you can't really use complicated tools. I only look at two things: open interest data and the long-short ratio. That's it. This approach may seem rough, but in reality, it's extremely efficient. I spent quite a few articles last year explaining this logic in detail, and I later realized that many people have been using it during sideways consolidation.
The core is: don't over-interpret. How positions move and the long-short comparison are enough signals. During the volatility of BTC and ETH, focusing on these two points is much more reliable than chasing after fancy indicators.
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probably_nothing_anon
· 8h ago
That's right, I do the same. Holding position and the long-short ratio are really enough signals.
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StablecoinArbitrageur
· 8h ago
honestly the "just watch open interest and long/short ratio" thing hits different when you actually backtest it. ran the numbers on the last 90 days—correlation coefficient between those two signals and price direction was 0.73, which... is genuinely solid for such a stripped-down approach.
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DataOnlooker
· 8h ago
The position and long-short ratio are indeed perfect. I just follow this method—simple, straightforward, and effective.
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AlgoAlchemist
· 8h ago
To be honest, I've been using the position + long-short ratio combination for over half a year, and it really doesn't have as many pitfalls as those flashy indicators.
Simple and straightforward, it just makes money. What can I say?
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BtcDailyResearcher
· 8h ago
Position holdings and long-short ratio, this set is truly excellent. Much more useful than those flashy indicators.
The recent market fluctuations are indeed very typical. The previous cycle was a textbook-level swing trend, and although the current wave yesterday didn't change much in terms of positions, its nature is completely different—that's the key difference.
In a ranging market, you can't really use complicated tools. I only look at two things: open interest data and the long-short ratio. That's it. This approach may seem rough, but in reality, it's extremely efficient. I spent quite a few articles last year explaining this logic in detail, and I later realized that many people have been using it during sideways consolidation.
The core is: don't over-interpret. How positions move and the long-short comparison are enough signals. During the volatility of BTC and ETH, focusing on these two points is much more reliable than chasing after fancy indicators.