Bitcoin appears poised to wrap up the year in the red. But here's what the data says: whenever BTC has closed out a year with a bearish candle, the following year has consistently turned green. The historical average? A solid 124.5% annual return. That's not just noise—it's a pattern worth watching if you're thinking about Bitcoin's cycle dynamics and what happens after yearly losses.

BTC-0,92%
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
  • Reward
  • 9
  • Repost
  • Share
Comment
0/400
New_Ser_Ngmivip
· 7h ago
Closing in the green is actually a good thing? These numbers look a bit outrageous.
View OriginalReply0
PuzzledScholarvip
· 14h ago
Wow, historical moving average 124.5%? I need to take a good look at this data.
View OriginalReply0
TokenomicsTrappervip
· 20h ago
lol so we're pattern-matching on 124.5% now? classic survivorship bias energy. actually if you read the historical data, half those "recoveries" coincided with macro bottoms and fed pivots, not some mystical btc cycle gods. but sure, let's pretend this year's red is just foreplay for next year's pump... watched liquidations spike at exactly these "reversal points" last time around tbh
Reply0
SnapshotBotvip
· 20h ago
So what if it has been red for a year? The chance of doubling next year is still right here.
View OriginalReply0
BearMarketSunriservip
· 20h ago
Here we go again, the saying that history repeats itself...
View OriginalReply0
MEVvictimvip
· 20h ago
Wow, historical data says a loss this year, double next year? I feel like I'm about to get cut again.
View OriginalReply0
MerkleDreamervip
· 20h ago
Is the historical data so impressive? 124% doubling, it feels like another wave is coming.
View OriginalReply0
down_only_larryvip
· 20h ago
So, is the next bull market guaranteed? 124.5% sounds pretty appealing.
View OriginalReply0
RunWhenCutvip
· 20h ago
A year of decline is actually an opportunity? I believe in this logic.
View OriginalReply0
View More
  • Pin

Trade Crypto Anywhere Anytime
qrCode
Scan to download Gate App
Community
  • بالعربية
  • Português (Brasil)
  • 简体中文
  • English
  • Español
  • Français (Afrique)
  • Bahasa Indonesia
  • 日本語
  • Português (Portugal)
  • Русский
  • 繁體中文
  • Українська
  • Tiếng Việt