2026-01-04 08:24:22

Bitcoin completed a monthly bullish close last week, and this signal is highly significant. In my opinion, the major cycle correction has basically been completed, and a strong rebound is inevitable next.

Many people are always worried about missing the market during periods of no position—honestly, this mindset indicates either their previous losses were not deep enough or they have become numb. The core skill in trading is learning to wait. Wait for what? Wait for a truly suitable entry point.

After three consecutive months of decline, Bitcoin has finally stabilized—this is no small feat. From a cycle perspective, I believe this rebound will last until around April. Only after the Federal Reserve's rate cut policies are implemented will the real winter arrive. Until then, it’s wise to treat the market as a range-bound zone.

Based on the current pace, my suggestions are:

**Bitcoin**: In the range of 90700 to 91200, do multiple long entries, with the first target at 96000, then 99000, and the final target at 102000.

**Ethereum**: In the range of 3100 to 3130, do multiple entries, with target levels at 3450, 3800, and 4150.

Over the past eight years, I’ve seen bull and bear cycles alternate and have stepped into many traps. Going solo can easily lead to detours; observing the market and strategizing with like-minded people is a more reliable approach. A new year, a new beginning—just waiting for those with the determination to seize this opportunity.

BTC-0,17%

ETH-0,09%

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LiquidityHunter

· 01-07 00:35

A monthly closing in the positive is indeed a signal, but at the April point, I want to see if the Federal Reserve will change its stance. No rush to enter the market, let's wait and see. The 90700 level is a bit tight; if it can't break through suddenly, it might need adjustment. People who entered Ethereum at 3100 are now all 😅. Waiting itself is a trading strategy, there's nothing wrong with that. Can this rebound last until April? I'm a bit skeptical.

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DefiSecurityGuard

· 01-06 21:22

⚠️ ngl, all those entry points you listed? run 'em through a risk calculator first. not tryna be that guy but i've seen this exact chart pattern before right before a liquidation cascade happened. dyor obviously.

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Hash_Bandit

· 01-05 22:36

nah the waiting game hits different when you've actually seen multiple difficulty epochs play out. most people just panic-sell into the dip lmao

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LiquidityWitch

· 01-05 04:55

The phrase "monthly candle closing positive" I've heard too many times. When a real rebound happens, no one really needs to remind you. Waiting is the right choice, but most people are actually waiting for psychological comfort. 102000? Why does this number feel so smooth? I always sense something's off. Those following the trend are just tools. I'll wait and see what the Federal Reserve has to say first. If this wave can really last until April, then my previous judgment will have to be completely overturned. LiquidityWitcher has probably been lurking at 90700 all along, no wonder he's so confident. Wow, finally someone dares to be so straightforward about the anxiety of holding no positions. Hey, why does everyone emphasize that they've lost money before? Isn't that hinting at risk? The target of 4150 sounds too optimistic; Ethereum isn't that strong. Box-range trading sounds easy, but in practice, it's just as easy to get cut.

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ForkMaster

· 01-04 08:53

Ha, after eight years of being a seasoned trader, now you're starting to teach people to "wait"? I just want to ask, how did those trapped orders get out before? But honestly, this monthly candle closing with a positive is quite interesting; it depends on how the Federal Reserve acts. --- It's still the same old arbitrage, wealth secrets, do the project teams really think this will stabilize the market? Dream on. --- Wait, you said April is a cold winter? Why does this market rhythm feel the same as last year? Will history repeat itself or are we all just being harvested? --- Buying in batches from 90700 to 91200 sounds nice, but I'm afraid it's the start of another wave of the "Lice Evolution Theory." My three kids' milk powder money is still waiting, gotta keep a steady mind. --- Eight years surviving in a bear market definitely shows some skill, but are these target levels really reliable analysis or just a betting agreement? Details decide victory or defeat, my friend. --- You didn't mention safety awareness, what about airdrop tutorials? Or is it still about lurking in contract code opportunities? --- Talking all this fancy stuff, but what I fear most is this kind of "well-intentioned" talk, which usually leads to Lice Harvesting. I'll still wait for projects audited by white hats.

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GweiTooHigh

· 01-04 08:52

Wait, really? Just because the monthly candle closes positive, you say the correction is over? That logic seems a bit far-fetched. After a three-month decline, a rebound and you're full of confidence? I feel like I've seen this kind of pattern too many times. How was the target of 102000 calculated? It seems a bit out of line.

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RektRecorder

· 01-04 08:49

Is the monthly candle turning positive and starting to hype? I think we should wait and see. --- The anxiety of being all in cash is really a disease, but this guy's point is not without reason. --- 102,000? That's hilarious. Let's first see it rise to 96,000 before talking about a pipe dream. --- It's another story about the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates. I'm already tired of hearing this rhetoric. --- Eight years of experience sounds impressive, but those who have stepped into traps before are often the most likely to step into them again. --- Gradually increasing positions is indeed reliable, but I'm just worried about running out of bullets. --- Entering ETH at 3100? Feels like we can wait a bit longer. --- This brother's statement about waiting is indeed the truth, but the problem is that it causes more mental issues while waiting. --- Box-range trading sounds simple, but there are very few who can actually cut losses. --- Like-minded people trading together, ending up liquidated together haha.

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Blockwatcher9000

· 01-04 08:42

Starting to predict a rebound when the monthly candle closes positive? I've heard this trick too many times. Three consecutive months of bearishness then turning bullish, your timing is really spot on. Wait for the interest rate cut policy before taking action, I choose to continue lying flat and observing. Going solo is easy to go astray, but following the trend can also lead to pitfalls. Those numbers like 90700 sound pretty intimidating, but let's just watch and see. Is this really different this time? I'll wait a bit longer before saying anything.

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BottomMisser

· 01-04 08:41

This guy's words are good, waiting is a form of cultivation. I used to be impatient and chase highs, which got me trapped. Now I've learned to be smarter. --- It's indeed important to pay attention to the monthly candle closing in the positive, but I think the mentality of those holding short positions isn't that bad. Sometimes it's just a matter of not seeing the right entry point. --- The 90700 level looks pretty good, but I want to wait a bit longer, afraid that the bottom might not really be the bottom, you know. --- The April winter judgment was a bit harsh, but the Federal Reserve definitely needs to be watched closely. That's the real factor influencing the market. --- I think entering Ethereum in batches around 3100 is fine, but the 3800 target feels a bit uncertain. Hopefully it won't drop again. --- "Say what you think" is so true, haha. Sometimes our group really needs to remind each other, or it's easy to get stuck in a mental trap alone. --- After falling for three months in a row, it's still uncertain how long this rebound can last. I have my doubts about April as a timing point. --- Seeing the words "bull and bear alternate" with confidence, unlike us, the noobs who get wiped out every day, we still need to keep learning.

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PumpBeforeRug

· 01-04 08:36

Wait, does a monthly candle closing positive mean a rebound? Why do I feel like I hear this logic every bear market? Not deep enough in losses, haha, that hits hard. I'm the kind of person who has already become numb. Buy in batches between 90700-91200... Easy to say, but when it actually happens, it's a whole different story. Is April still a rebound period? Alright, I'll wait and see what the Federal Reserve says before making any moves. Ethereum at 3100 isn't cheap either. Still need to buy in batches at this price? That's quite bold. Going solo and taking detours is really risky, but banding together also makes it easy to get caught together. I'm actually waiting for this wave of opportunity, but not at the level you mentioned.

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