Day 91 of exiting the market, now the fund account has reached 2.27 million U.



Recently, I pondered a question—the lending module of a top-tier exchange wallet is actually interesting. The activity yields can offset lending interest, and depositing also yields extra returns. For example, using FDUSD as collateral can yield about 4.5% annualized. If you lend out 80% of the limit into SUSDD with a 13.5% annualized return, the profit can be 1.7-2% higher than just holding SUSDD, ultimately reaching 15-16%.

Theoretically feasible, but I wouldn’t actually do it. Adding an extra layer of lending risk just for that annualized return—just one liquidation or slippage and it’s all gone. To put it plainly, each additional step adds another layer of risk. Those projects that blow up often do so layer by layer, with participants always thinking it won’t go wrong, but a small flash crash gets them liquidated.

I’m still watching from outside the market. I still need 44,961U to break even and start making profit. At the Ant Move pace, it’ll probably take another two months. Honestly, sometimes I really want to jump in and eat a big chunk and then run, but I’m holding back.

Interestingly, the timing of exiting actually turned out to be the peak. Although later I lost some account limit due to a small loss, in terms of USD it actually earned over 40,000 dollars. It just feels off seeing the balance lower than before. This psychological aspect is interesting—before, fluctuations of one or two million didn’t feel this way, but now as long as the number doesn’t go up, it feels uncomfortable.

Thinking carefully, it might be a shift from coin-based to USD-based mindset. Before, I only looked at whether the coin holdings were increasing; now I focus on whether the USD account can keep rising. This is a psychological trap that can easily turn you into a leek.

Recently, this one-sided market has probably made everyone a good profit. Remember not to be too greedy—take profits when you can, and avoid heavy losses before the year ends. Making money is hard, but preserving wealth is even harder.

My strategy is simple: certainty and safety first, profit always second. Learn from Buffett—calculate returns on an annual basis, never take unnecessary risks. If you can’t hold back, you might end up zero, so you need to be steady as an old dog.
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PretendingToReadDocsvip
· 01-07 11:13
This change in mindset is incredible. Starting from coin-based to U-based, I’ve become less calm. No wonder psychological traps are the most deadly. Stay steady and it’s all good. Even moving the Ants in two months is pretty quick. The temptation of 15-16% is indeed huge, but the borrowing and lending game is really not worth risking. I’ve seen too many people get into trouble playing it. The ability to endure is the most valuable skill; this is worth more than any strategy. Made over 40,000 but still struggling with the account numbers. That’s really an interesting story.
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notSatoshi1971vip
· 01-07 03:12
Hmm, multi-layer nested profit traps, they explode with a single poke. The impulse to go all-in is indeed hard to resist, but you held on this time. Switching from coin-based to U-based, greed is worth being liquidated. A steady $40,000 profit is safe and guaranteed, don't complain about the small balance. Wait for that 44,961U, even an ant moving can get there.
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alpha_leakervip
· 01-04 13:53
2.27 million U, no hype, no negativity. The timing to exit is perfectly calculated. I totally understand that feeling of still feeling uncomfortable after making a profit; psychological accounting is really powerful. --- I've thought about the lending arbitrage strategy before, but once the risk layering increases, I don't want to touch it anymore. It's too easy to get pierced and lose everything. --- The U-based psychological trap really hit me; it's indeed easy to be hijacked by numbers. --- Two months of Ant moving to the target? Steady is steady, but the process can be a bit torturous. --- The phrase "Don't suffer a heavy blow before the New Year" should be engraved in your mind. The afternoon of greed is when most people's nightmare begins. --- The analogy "as steady as an old dog" is brilliant. Strong patience is the fundamental ability to make real money.
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MetaverseHobovip
· 01-04 11:51
Stay calm, don't be tempted by the yield, layer after layer, and in the end, you'll be trapping yourself.
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BlockchainNewbievip
· 01-04 11:50
The phrase "as steady as an old dog" is spot on, but it's just too hard to achieve. Based on your analysis, those high-multiplier annualized leverage positions are essentially playing with fire; liquidation can happen in an instant.
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SchrodingerGasvip
· 01-04 11:47
This U-based trap is really incredible. Once you switch your mindset, you can't go back. The concept of mental accounting is all about this... Resisting the urge to go all-in is the highest level of strategic equilibrium, but most people can't do it. The temptation of 15-16% is indeed strong, but the risk premium is miscalculated. A single misstep can ruin everything, and it's simply not mathematically worth it. There's still a little gap to reach 44961U, which ironically makes people more likely to go crazy... but at this point, you need to stay calm. Saving money is truly a hundred times harder than making money. It shows you're genuinely experienced in losing if you're this sober.
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BakedCatFanboyvip
· 01-04 11:39
This psychological game is really amazing. Earning over 40,000 but still feeling uncomfortable, I'm also that kind of person haha I understand the impulse to rush in, but looking at your self-control, it's really steady. I've also considered those high-yield pyramid schemes, but in the end, I chickened out. Risk layering is just looking for death. The U-basis trap insight is brilliant. People are easily brainwashed by dollar figures. Saving money is the hardest part, much more difficult than earning it.
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VitalikFanAccountvip
· 01-04 11:39
Is 233U still counting? I haven't checked my account for a long time. The more I look, the more torment I feel. I also calculated that lending arbitrage, but as the author said, one injection and it's all over. What's the point?
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Degen4Breakfastvip
· 01-04 11:36
Hmm, this mindset shift is quite interesting. Moving from coin-based to U-based really is a trap. Holding back from selling is the true winner, I believe. The borrowing and re-borrowing strategy has long been outdated; I've seen too many blow-ups like that. 227 million is still climbing; wait two more months, and it’s a sure thing, no rush. This psychological trap hit home; getting annoyed when the balance doesn’t increase is a post-exit syndrome. "Steady as an old dog"—I need to remember this, really. 15-16% returns sound tempting, but the risks are definitely not worth it. Don’t be reckless before the new year; many have learned painful lessons from this wave. Switching between coin-based and U-based positions is really just a change in mindset; greed also changes.
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