2026-01-04 11:26:52

Next Friday there are two data points that must be closely watched: Non-farm Payrolls and the Unemployment Rate. These two are the barometers for judging the economic temperature.

In simple terms, the quality of employment data directly determines the subsequent pace. If employment starts to weaken, expectations for rate cuts will heat up, and risk assets (including cryptocurrencies) are likely to rebound; conversely, if employment continues to hold steady, liquidity expectations will be pushed back, and market volatility will naturally increase.

What is the smartest approach in such times? Don't bet on what the data will be before its release—that's self-deception. Adopt a "reaction-based trading" strategy, wait for the data to come out and see the true picture, rather than pre-judging. In the market, it's often more stable to react after the fact.

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MEV_Whisperer

· 01-06 06:49

Employment data is the real show time once released; betting early is just a rookie mentality. Wait, if the interest rate cut really happens, the crypto market can finally breathe. Reactive trading sounds stable, but do you dare to avoid FOMO? Haha. On non-farm payroll day, I’ll definitely be glued to the screen—that’s true pin risk. Honestly, pre-judging is just gambling; I often fall into this trap too.

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LiquidityNinja

· 01-05 17:40

Non-farm payrolls are just a gamble; it's more reliable to act after the data is released. The day before non-farm payrolls, I was still pondering interest rate cuts, and then I started arbitraging. Employment data really is the anchor of everything. Don't mess around with those tricks; it's much safer to wait for the data to land and react accordingly than to go all-in prematurely. Expectations of rate cuts vs. employment support—these two directions are moving completely opposite. Forget it, let's just wait and see. Liquidity is unpredictable; rather than betting, it's better to wait for the market to respond. Following the feedback is the key.

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BTCWaveRider

· 01-04 11:55

It's another non-farm weekend, I bet five bucks that a bunch of people will go all-in early again. Reactive trading is indeed reliable, but execution is too difficult. Just wait until next Friday, stay put and don't guess blindly. When the employment data is released, crypto will give you the answer directly, just wait and see. This round tests your mentality the most; pre-judging is no different from giving away money. Really, every night before the non-farm report, the group is full of jokes, and afterward, everyone chickens out... Let the data speak, stop gambling on luck.

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RugResistant

· 01-04 11:53

ngl, seen too many get liquidated trying to front-run nfp data. reaction trades hit different fr fr

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GateUser-9f682d4c

· 01-04 11:46

Let's wait for the data to come out; guessing in advance is just foolish.

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