2026-01-04 15:21:13

Ripple recently completed the XRP release plan for January, unlocking a total of 700 million XRP. This number seems large, but it requires calm analysis.

Simply put, Ripple has a fixed monthly issuance mechanism. Every month, a certain amount of XRP is regularly released, and the January quota was 700 million. The key point is—these tokens do not directly flow into the secondary market but are instead returned to the escrow wallet for continued locking. In other words, although the release volume looks significant, the actual circulating supply that can impact the market is limited.

However, there are two aspects worth noting. One is that the Ripple team might retain a portion of these unlocked tokens for company operations or ecosystem development, so the actual selling pressure is even smaller. The other is the pending SEC lawsuit. This legal dispute is the real variable affecting XRP price fluctuations—if the regulatory outcome is unfavorable, the release volume becomes a secondary concern.

An intuitive analogy is: XRP is like limited resources periodically unlocked in a game. Ripple opens a treasure chest each month to release items, but these items go directly into a frozen storage. Market participants can only trade with external reserves, and the real turning point depends on when the official launches new cross-border payment collaborations or technological breakthroughs.

Therefore, instead of obsessing over the 7 billion release volume, it’s better to focus on Ripple’s actual application deployment. That is the long-term factor determining XRP’s value.

XRP-4,17%

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StillBuyingTheDip

· 01-07 15:14

700 million sounds scary, but most of it has been returned to escrow. Ripple's tactics for harvesting retail investors are extremely clever. The SEC ruling is the real X factor; don’t be fooled by the release volume. Practical application is the key. No matter how much is hyped now, cross-border payments haven't been implemented yet. We still need to see what happens next. Every month, the same routine: the treasure chest opens and closes again. Retail investors will never see through this game. Instead of focusing on the numbers, it's better to research whether Ripple is pushing forward with new payment channels.

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DefiOldTrickster

· 01-07 04:58

700 million tokens sound impressive, but in fact, they are all in escrow. There are very few chips actually dumped on the market. I saw through this trick eight years ago. To be honest, the SEC's lawsuit is the real suspense, much more significant than the release volume. If Ripple really launches a major application, this release volume is just a drop in the bucket. Instead of focusing on this number, it's better to analyze the strategies they are deploying on the B2B side.

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GamefiGreenie

· 01-05 13:25

700 million tokens sound scary, but actually most of them have been returned to escrow. I’m familiar with this trick. The real highlight is still the SEC lawsuit; that's what truly determines XRP's fate.

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EyeOfTheTokenStorm

· 01-04 15:51

According to the quantitative model, this wave of release actually has little destructive power... The escrow mechanism has long been priced in, and it's actually the SEC lawsuit that is the real source of uncertainty. Isn't this just a "false breakout" in the market cycle? Historical data shows that every such release is accompanied by excessive emotional reactions, while the technicals remain as solid as a rock. Honestly, instead of fixating on the 700 million data report, it's better to look at Ripple's real application scenarios... The progress of RippleNet's implementation will determine whether XRP can break through the bottom formation in the long term. My quantitative model indicates that the circulating pressure coefficient is actually only 0.3 times the historical average... So those shouting to dump the market simply haven't understood the operational logic of escrow. It's the same old routine—releasing a fixed amount every month, and the market still likes to be scared by such "big numbers"... But from a macroeconomic cycle perspective, now is actually a good time to do T with XRP.

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MEVHunter

· 01-04 15:50

Well, the escrow mechanism is actually about liquidity management. The real variable is still the SEC side; the release amount is not the main contradiction at all.

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SignatureVerifier

· 01-04 15:46

ngl, the escrow lockback mechanism here requires further auditing before drawing conclusions. most people only see the 700M figure and panic-sell without validating the actual circulation mechanics. technically speaking, that's insufficient analysis at best.

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PseudoIntellectual

· 01-04 15:37

It's the same escrow operation again, I'm tired of seeing it. The real problem isn't the release volume; it's all being scrutinized by the SEC.

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BlockchainDecoder

· 01-04 15:30

According to research, the analysis of the escrow mechanism in this article is reasonable, but it overlooks a key variable—the dynamic changes in exchange liquidity pools. Data shows that although Ripple's monthly releases have a high lock-up ratio, what truly impacts the price is the institutional investors' cumulative holding strategy, a point that few have explored in depth.

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