This time, the FOMC is not a routine chatter, but a real signal of market rescue. Tonight's discussion will directly focus on January rate cuts, liquidity dilemmas, and capital injection plans. How will the market fluctuate? If cryptocurrencies receive a super catalyst, the rhythm will be completely different.

**Three core points of focus, each could trigger a trend**

**Step 1: How big will the January rate cut be?**
Employment risks have already overshadowed inflation concerns, and major Federal Reserve district banks have long been advocating "protecting jobs." The official announcement tonight about a January rate cut is not about whether to cut, but about "how much." A 25 basis point cut is a cautious move that aligns with expectations and will initially boost the market, but the pace will depend on upcoming data. If it directly cuts 50 basis points? That would be an ultra-surprising strong signal. Bitcoin and Ethereum will immediately surge, breaking through the 90,000 and 3,100 dollar resistance levels, and the market will be stimulated with real gains.

**Step 2: Liquidity injections, opening the door for institutional funds**
Whether it's slowing down balance sheet reduction, restarting short-term repurchase agreements, or directly expanding the balance sheet, the goal is the same—solve the liquidity shortage. Once implemented, large institutions like BlackRock will accelerate their entry into crypto ETFs, on-chain funds will quickly shift from net outflows to net inflows, and even altcoins will catch up with a rally. Honestly, this liquidity boost is more direct than the impact of a simple rate cut.

**Step 3: Shift in policy stance, the rate cut cycle is truly ahead of schedule**
The emergency meeting itself indicates that employment and financial risks are more severe than expected. Internal disagreements within the Fed will dissipate, and dovish dominance will be established. This will significantly increase the probability of a rate cut in March, and the pace of rate cuts throughout 2026 will accelerate. The liquidity dividend for the crypto market is not a future event; it’s happening now. The bull market signal is already very clear.