2026-01-05 16:50:21

#以太坊大户持仓变化 $ETH This week's turning point, data speaks louder than candlesticks

The real highlight for Ethereum these days is not a short-term pullback, but the window opened by macroeconomic data releases.

Three key data points are about to be released, with tight timing, each of which will change the market's attitude towards the dollar and risk assets. First, I'll give you an overview of the framework, and once the data is out, we'll analyze and react to each one.

① Wednesday, January 7th, 21:15

ADP Employment Data

Previous: -3.2

Expected: 4.5

This is the market's first test of employment recovery, and this result often influences capital flows in advance.

② Thursday, January 8th, 21:30

U.S. Initial Jobless Claims

Previous: 19.9

Expected: 21.6

If it continues to rise, it indicates the labor market is slowing down, but this could actually be good news for risk assets.

③ Friday, January 9th, 21:30

Non-Farm Payrolls

Previous: -10.5

Expected: 5.5

This is the real heavyweight, directly determining the market's judgment on upcoming policy directions.

From a technical perspective, ETH's 4-hour lows are continuously rising, with no signs of large funds fleeing, just looking for a "passable reason" to push higher.

The biggest risk in this kind of market is repeated oscillation and panic selling.

As long as macro data doesn't surprise, Ethereum has a clear path to break above 3300 this week, not just hype.

After the data is released, let's see how the market reacts.

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DeepRabbitHole

· 01-07 16:28

These days, data is bombarding intensively, more stimulating than watching K-lines. Really, on Non-Farm Payroll day, I guess I'll have to stay up late watching the screen again.

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WhaleWatcher

· 01-07 11:13

The data window is indeed worth looking at, but I still think the big players have known about it for a long time. Now it's just waiting for the right moment to harvest the profits.

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MetaverseLandlord

· 01-06 16:55

I'm confident in the data window; it's much more reliable than those guesswork candlestick charts. Non-farm payrolls on Friday are the real variable.

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MEVictim

· 01-06 05:58

Hi, the data part is definitely the most interesting, way more fun than just watching the charts.

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GasFeeCrier

· 01-05 17:20

Data-intensive week, this time we really need to keep an eye on the Federal Reserve's actions, and can't just focus on those K-line charts.

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WenMoon42

· 01-05 17:20

The data window is definitely more worth paying attention to. Candlestick charts deceive every day, and Non-Farm Payrolls day is the real test.

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ZenZKPlayer

· 01-05 17:19

Hmm... The perspective of the data window is indeed fresh, but brother, I feel like these three data points you mentioned always become the market's "surprise killer." Rushing up to 3300 in the early session? I bet five U's that as soon as tomorrow's ADP data is released, it will sharply decline. During such dense data periods, ETH is most likely to be trapped.

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ContractFreelancer

· 01-05 17:04

The data window is indeed crucial, but I'm more concerned about how the big players are operating right now. Is anyone secretly building positions? Honestly, I think the non-farm payroll data this week might cause a big move. Just don't get knocked out when it happens. At the 3300 level, it feels a bit optimistic. It looks like another wave of fluctuations is coming. Wait, are the big players really not fleeing? Is the data clear? Actually, the most vulnerable to this kind of volatile market are the chives being cut. The moment macroeconomic data is released, it's truly a decisive moment.

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ReverseFOMOguy

· 01-05 16:58

Wow, this data window is really crucial. If the ADP number surprises to the downside, it could directly cause a sell-off. Just looking at the lows lifting isn't enough; we need to see if big funds are actually stepping in. 3300 still feels a bit too optimistic. Macroeconomic data can't afford to have any surprises, is that realistic, bro?

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