What exactly governs the rhythm of the Bitcoin bull market? Many believe the largest gains occur at the beginning of the bull run, but in reality, it's quite the opposite.



The first quarter is indeed a critical period to watch. According to historical cycle analysis, the main upward wave at the end of each bull market tends to be more astonishing than the initial gains. Why is that?

The core reason lies in the different phase characteristics. The early stage of a bull market is a quiet accumulation period for institutions and large investors, with limited trading volume, and steady but modest gains. By the time the market reaches the end of the bull run, the situation changes—initial accumulation is mostly complete, retail investors' FOMO reaches its peak, and market liquidity creates a resonance effect. Long-suppressed expectations and capital are released in this phase in a final surge.

It's like a spring— the longer it's compressed, the more powerful the rebound. The crypto market's performance is often more exaggerated because participant sentiment swings are inherently more intense than in traditional markets.

If you look at recent Ethereum and Bitcoin performance and still think the gains are impressive, it’s advisable to reassess. The real acceleration phase might just be beginning. Doubling your investment at this stage is hardly an aggressive expectation.

History doesn't repeat exactly, but market participants' psychological patterns do. This time, the only difference is whether you're prepared in advance or only start chasing after the market takes off.
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DegenMcsleeplessvip
· 01-08 16:33
Spring theory I love it, but now the most likely participants are still the bagholders.
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TxFailedvip
· 01-05 17:51
ngl, the "spring compression" analogy here... technically speaking, that's just describing liquidity cascades with extra steps. seen this movie before tho, usually ends with someone's stop-loss getting absolutely wrecked. PSA: if you're thinking 2x is conservative, you haven't experienced a wick down to your entry yet lmao
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gas_fee_therapistvip
· 01-05 17:49
Let's not talk about whether the spring is taut or not first; the key point is that you're already thinking about doubling your investment before even getting on the train. This mindset definitely needs adjustment.
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BlockchainDecodervip
· 01-05 17:42
According to research, this spring theory is indeed supported by data, but it is worth noting that retail FOMO often also signals a market top...
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ruggedSoBadLMAOvip
· 01-05 17:36
Spring argues that I should pay the bill, but the real question is... is it the right time to enter now?
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VibesOverChartsvip
· 01-05 17:28
Spring theory is really amazing. The FOMO during the牛尾 wave can drive people crazy, it all depends on who hasn't been cut off completely.
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ZenMinervip
· 01-05 17:24
I like the spring theory, but how many people are truly brave enough to go all-in...
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ForkTonguevip
· 01-05 17:22
Spring theory is well explained, but the key is that you need to have bullets alive until that moment, understand?
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