#2026年比特币行情展望 $RIVER You have been losing money all along, and there is only one core reason

$ETH Still operating blindly based on feelings? Without a clear trading plan, you're destined to be cut by the market.

I am 30 years old this year, and I started engaging in crypto trading at 22. By 24~25, my capital reached middle-class levels. Over the years of trial and error, I have summarized a set of "clumsy methods," which are simple and crude to say but can almost ensure stable profits. Based on this logic, I made a sum of money.

The seven iron laws I’ve explored are not complicated, but each one is a lesson learned through blood and tears. If you don’t understand or disagree, feel free—anyway, the losses will still happen—

**First Law: Capital Allocation Principle**
Divide the principal into 5 parts, only use one-fifth each time. Set a hard stop-loss of 10 points. Calculated this way, one mistake only loses 2% of the total funds. Even with 5 mistakes, only a 10% loss. Conversely, set take-profit at above 10 points—do you think there’s still a chance of being trapped?

**Second Law: Follow the Trend**
In a downtrend, every rebound is a trap for more buying; in an uptrend, every dip could be an ambush. Instead of blindly bottom-fishing, it’s more prudent to buy on dips. Going with the trend is always the simplest profit logic.

**Third Law: Stay Away from Short-term Explosive Coins**
Whether mainstream or small coins, the chances of further rises after a short-term surge are slim. After a high-level stagnation, the momentum naturally weakens. The reasoning is straightforward, but greedy people always want to gamble.

**Fourth Law: MACD Entry and Exit Signals**
When DIF and DEA form a golden cross below the zero line, breaking above zero—this is a steady buy signal. Conversely, when MACD forms a death cross above the zero line, it’s time to start reducing positions.

**Fifth Law: Volume-Price Relationship is Key**
Trading volume is the soul of the market. Watch for volume breakout during consolidation at low levels; at high levels, if volume stagnates, it’s wise to exit decisively.

**Sixth Law: Only Trade in Uptrend**
This yields the highest win rate and saves time. The 3-day moving average turning upward is a short-term bullish signal; the 30-day indicates medium-term upward trend; the 84-day suggests a main upward wave; and the 120-day confirms the long-term trend.

**Seventh Law: Review Weekly**
Check if your holding logic has deteriorated, whether the weekly K-line still matches previous judgments, and if there are signs of trend reversal. Adjust your trading strategy in time to survive longer.

Not sure how to start in this kind of market? Actually, it’s not that complicated. The key is to stick to discipline, let the data speak, and not be swayed by emotions.