2026-01-11 00:24:51

Market fluctuations are not about facts, but about people's sentiments.

On prediction platforms like Polymarket, most people bet because they want a certain outcome to happen. But the logic of machines is completely different—they don't care who wins or loses.

What is the reality? When hype pushes a certain probability to 90%, and there is no new data to support it, those intelligent algorithms quietly bet on the opposite side and then wait patiently. This is not prediction; it's hedging.

The contradictory game is played out daily in the prediction market—a continuous struggle between emotion-driven participants and rational opponents.

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gm_or_ngmi

· 01-11 00:54

Well said. Looking at it this way, there's a 90% chance it's just a joke, all driven by retail investor sentiment. Machines are truly cold-blooded, they don't play psychological games with you at all. That's why I always wonder why everyone runs away when the hype is at its peak—turns out they've been waiting for this. Algorithms are smiling behind the scenes. This is the real prediction market.

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ShitcoinArbitrageur

· 01-11 00:48

Haha, to put it simply, retail investors are being emotionally manipulated, AI is laughing in the shadows Everyone wants to make quick money, algorithms only think about making money, the difference is huge When the probability reaches 90%, I start looking for opposite orders, that's my experience The game rules of Polymarket are actually: whatever you believe in, it does the opposite Hedging, listening to the professional, is basically betting against your position, simple and straightforward The most ruthless thing about machines is that they don't feel emotions. While retail investors are still spamming discussions, they have already laid out their plans People's minds are easily swayed, data is ironclad, this game has never had a winner, only those who harvest the leeks and those who get harvested

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LightningClicker

· 01-11 00:46

Well said. That's why I keep getting cut by machines. When people's greed takes over, the algorithm has already turned around. Machines don't pretend; we all pretend. I really went all in on that 90% wave, and I'm still eating dirt. This game is basically machines fishing, and we're just the fish. On Polymarket, it's all about gambler mentality, but the algorithm is playing chess. The gap is huge. So the best thing ordinary people can do is... not to play?

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BearMarketMonk

· 01-11 00:31

Well said, that's why I never follow the trend and bet on popular options. Those with a 90% probability are the most dangerous. The bots are waiting, while retail investors are chasing, completely going against the trend.

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