Looking at BTC's seasonal patterns, Q1 historically tends to deliver solid returns. The notable exception? 2018—that quarter was brutal, with prices collapsing sharply. Aside from that outlier, the first quarter consistently outperforms, especially over the last several years. What's interesting is even 2022, which kicked off a brutal bear market, saw Q1 holding up relatively well despite the broader bearish sentiment that year. The data suggests Q1 remains a period worth watching for Bitcoin positioning.
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
13 Likes
Reward
13
7
Repost
Share
Comment
0/400
BottomMisser
· 15h ago
That wave in 2018 was really incredible; I managed to buy the dip halfway up the mountain.
View OriginalReply0
DefiPlaybook
· 01-11 20:19
Here comes the old story of Q1 curse again… Honestly, apart from the 2018 crash, the data does look good, but this is a classic case of survivor bias. Q1 2022 "relatively resistant to decline"? Bro, it also fell, just not as badly.
View OriginalReply0
StableNomad
· 01-11 20:12
ngl the 2018 exception is exactly why i don't trust seasonal patterns... reminds me of UST in May, everyone's got a thesis until they don't. statistically speaking sure, but risk-adjusted returns tell a different story when you're underwater 60%
Reply0
NightAirdropper
· 01-11 20:08
That wave in 2018 was really incredible; the first quarter of other years was indeed pretty good.
View OriginalReply0
MemecoinTrader
· 01-11 20:07
nah the real psyops is convincing retail Q1 is bullish when we're literally farming their entries rn
Reply0
BearMarketLightning
· 01-11 20:06
That huge loss in 2018 really left a psychological shadow. Looking at Q1 now, do you still dare to buy the dip?
View OriginalReply0
AirdropHunter420
· 01-11 19:53
That wave in 2018 was truly incredible; at that time, almost no one expected to see 2019...
Looking at BTC's seasonal patterns, Q1 historically tends to deliver solid returns. The notable exception? 2018—that quarter was brutal, with prices collapsing sharply. Aside from that outlier, the first quarter consistently outperforms, especially over the last several years. What's interesting is even 2022, which kicked off a brutal bear market, saw Q1 holding up relatively well despite the broader bearish sentiment that year. The data suggests Q1 remains a period worth watching for Bitcoin positioning.