The market dynamics are shaping up pretty predictably this cycle. Plays centered on cost relief and inflation reduction? They're positioned to outperform significantly. Conversely, anything exposed to weakening consumer demand or deteriorating sentiment will likely struggle.

The broader context matters here: we're in a midterm political environment that's driving specific fiscal and monetary narratives. These policy directions are filtering down into how different asset classes and market segments behave. Traders betting on affordability tailwinds have structural support, while those holding exposure to consumer confidence-sensitive trades face headwinds.

It's less about prediction and more about recognizing which themes align with the macro backdrop unfolding over the next 12 months.