Stellar RWA Approaches the $1 Billion Threshold: Can the XLM Price Trend Reversal? Entering 2026, Stellar (XLM)'s market performance remains weak. Over the past three months, XLM has experienced a cumulative correction of about 34%, with the overall trend under pressure. However, recent price fluctuations have noticeably converged, the short-term decline has slowed, and signs of stabilization are beginning to appear in the market. In contrast to the price action, real usage data on the Stellar network continues to improve. On-chain data shows that the actual weighted asset value related to real-world assets (RWA) in the Stellar ecosystem has approached the $1 billion mark. Since the end of December 2025, this indicator has risen from approximately $890 million to nearly $986 million, an increase of over 10% in a short period. This change indicates that funds have not exited due to the price decline but are instead continuing to flow into the network. From a technical perspective, the XLM daily chart is forming an inverse head and shoulders pattern. The left shoulder formed in November 2025, the head appeared in late December, and recent corrections are gradually outlining the right shoulder. This pattern typically appears near a phase bottom, reflecting diminishing selling pressure and early buying interest. The current neckline is about 12% above the current price. Once the daily chart effectively stabilizes above this area, a breakout will be confirmed technically. The capital flow indicators further reinforce this structure. The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) remained above zero during the price correction, indicating no significant capital outflow from the market. Meanwhile, the Money Flow Index (MFI) maintained a high level during previous lows, reflecting typical dip-buying behavior. As long as key support levels are not broken, such buying activity will continue to support the price. Observing key levels, if the XLM daily close breaks above approximately $0.254, the technical target will point toward around $0.33, corresponding to about 30% above the neckline. Conversely, if it falls below $0.223, the current bullish structure will weaken, and further decline could invalidate this pattern. Overall, the growth of RWA on the Stellar network, ongoing capital inflows, and clear technical structures are providing a potential foundation for a bullish reversal for XLM. Moving forward, the market's key focus is whether the price can realize the positive signals released by on-chain fundamentals.