On the 5-day chart, XRP is currently trading between $2.15-$2.20 after previously reaching the $3 milestone in the last cycle. This downward movement appears within a clear falling channel, which is not a distribution signal but a controlled correction phase with diminishing momentum. The current price is attempting to break above the 21 EMA, which would be the first short-term momentum trigger. Just above is the 50 EMA, aligned with the channel's midline, serving as the next barrier. The 100 EMA continues to slope upward below the price.
Once XRP closes above the 21 EMA and breaks and sustains above $2.30, the bearish channel structure will be invalidated, signaling the start of a new bullish trend. This scenario would open the door for upward momentum toward the $3.10-$3.30 zone.
**XRP/BTC Monthly Chart: Breaking Ichimoku Cloud for the first time since 2018**
On the monthly XRP/BTC chart, analyst Matt Hughes points out that XRP is trading at 0.00003 BTC, a level that has acted as a long-term equilibrium point since 2018 rather than a growth source. More importantly, the price has just broken above the Ichimoku cloud on the monthly chart—an indicator for the first time since 2018. Hughes emphasizes that only a monthly close confirmed above the cloud would truly signal sustained strength of XRP relative to Bitcoin, rather than just a short-term reversal.
If XRP/BTC closes the month above the cloud, the structure will shift from a multi-year suppression phase to an expansion phase. Until then, this is only a test of macro resistance.
The daily XRP/USD chart shows XRP has completed a full Wyckoff accumulation pattern. This structure indicates a peak panic sell-off (Phase A), an automatic rally (Phase B), a secondary test, followed by a broad trading range. Next is a "spring" phase with gradual decline before a strong rebound into late 2025. This rebound marks the final liquidity sweep below support before demand returns.
Since then, XRP has made higher lows and tested the "spring," demonstrating buying strength. The current price is just below the near $2.50 resistance zone. A clear breakout would confirm entry into Phase E of the pattern, where prices could rise further. However, if it fails at this point, the structure is not canceled but only delayed. The next major support zone is still far at $1.60.
**Unified message from the three charts**
Overall, all three charts send the same message: XRP is consolidating, not exhausted. On the monthly timeframe, XRP is building pressure against macro resistance relative to Bitcoin. On the daily, it maintains its structure against USD. On the 5-day, it is on the verge of completing an accumulation zone.
For the recovery to extend, two conditions must be met. First, XRP/BTC must close the month above the Ichimoku cloud. Second, XRP/USD must stay above $2.30. When both conditions are fulfilled, the chart will signal a bright red light indicating the start of an expansion phase.
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## XRP Approaching $2.50: Chart Reveals Key Breakout Level
**What does the 5-day XRP/USD chart indicate?**
On the 5-day chart, XRP is currently trading between $2.15-$2.20 after previously reaching the $3 milestone in the last cycle. This downward movement appears within a clear falling channel, which is not a distribution signal but a controlled correction phase with diminishing momentum. The current price is attempting to break above the 21 EMA, which would be the first short-term momentum trigger. Just above is the 50 EMA, aligned with the channel's midline, serving as the next barrier. The 100 EMA continues to slope upward below the price.
Once XRP closes above the 21 EMA and breaks and sustains above $2.30, the bearish channel structure will be invalidated, signaling the start of a new bullish trend. This scenario would open the door for upward momentum toward the $3.10-$3.30 zone.
**XRP/BTC Monthly Chart: Breaking Ichimoku Cloud for the first time since 2018**
On the monthly XRP/BTC chart, analyst Matt Hughes points out that XRP is trading at 0.00003 BTC, a level that has acted as a long-term equilibrium point since 2018 rather than a growth source. More importantly, the price has just broken above the Ichimoku cloud on the monthly chart—an indicator for the first time since 2018. Hughes emphasizes that only a monthly close confirmed above the cloud would truly signal sustained strength of XRP relative to Bitcoin, rather than just a short-term reversal.
If XRP/BTC closes the month above the cloud, the structure will shift from a multi-year suppression phase to an expansion phase. Until then, this is only a test of macro resistance.
**XRP/USD Daily Chart: Wyckoff Pattern Completed**
The daily XRP/USD chart shows XRP has completed a full Wyckoff accumulation pattern. This structure indicates a peak panic sell-off (Phase A), an automatic rally (Phase B), a secondary test, followed by a broad trading range. Next is a "spring" phase with gradual decline before a strong rebound into late 2025. This rebound marks the final liquidity sweep below support before demand returns.
Since then, XRP has made higher lows and tested the "spring," demonstrating buying strength. The current price is just below the near $2.50 resistance zone. A clear breakout would confirm entry into Phase E of the pattern, where prices could rise further. However, if it fails at this point, the structure is not canceled but only delayed. The next major support zone is still far at $1.60.
**Unified message from the three charts**
Overall, all three charts send the same message: XRP is consolidating, not exhausted. On the monthly timeframe, XRP is building pressure against macro resistance relative to Bitcoin. On the daily, it maintains its structure against USD. On the 5-day, it is on the verge of completing an accumulation zone.
For the recovery to extend, two conditions must be met. First, XRP/BTC must close the month above the Ichimoku cloud. Second, XRP/USD must stay above $2.30. When both conditions are fulfilled, the chart will signal a bright red light indicating the start of an expansion phase.