XRP Charts Suggest Cup-and-Handle Setup Could Push Toward $5 by Year-End

The setup: Trading patterns and on-chain signals are aligning to suggest XRP could experience significant upside movement in the coming months.

On-Chain Buyers Are Back in Control

XRP’s spot taker Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) on a 90-day basis has just shifted into buyer-dominant territory—the first time since mid-2025. This metric reveals whether traders are aggressively buying at market price or patiently waiting for lower entry points. When the needle swings toward buyers, it typically signals growing demand and confidence.

The last time this signal flashed green, XRP rallied approximately 75% within a matter of weeks. That historical precedent has caught the attention of the broader market, especially as new catalysts are emerging.

Cup-and-Handle Pattern Points to Fresh Highs

Technical analyst Milkybull recently highlighted a cup-and-handle formation on XRP’s three-day chart—a textbook bullish setup that tends to emerge after major market corrections. Here’s how it works: the “cup” phase represents gradual accumulation as the price forms a rounded base; the “handle” is a mild pullback that sets up the final breakout.

When price breaks decisively above the handle’s resistance level, the upside target typically measures roughly equal to the pattern’s depth. Applying this framework to XRP’s current structure suggests a potential rally target near $5, implying roughly a 103% move from current levels by the close of 2025.

ETF Tailwinds Could Act as the Ignition

The regulatory environment just shifted in crypto’s favor. Following the US government shutdown resolution, optimism around spot XRP ETF approvals has intensified. The SEC’s path appears clearer, and the market is buzzing about potential “floodgates” opening for new XRP spot products.

Currently, 11 XRP ETF products are listed on the DTCC website in active or pre-launch status, with marquee issuers including 21Shares, ProShares, Bitwise, Canary Capital, CoinShares, and Franklin Templeton ready to move. Analysts widely expect the first US spot XRP ETFs to launch in the near term, which could unlock fresh institutional demand and drive volumes higher.

What This Means for XRP

At $2.08 currently, XRP sits roughly halfway between its recent lows and the $5 technical target. The convergence of bullish on-chain dynamics, classic cup-and-handle breakout setup, and upcoming ETF catalysts has created a scenario that traders and analysts are monitoring closely heading into the final stretch of 2025.