#以太坊大户持仓变化 Contracts are really not just about guessing ups and downs and blindly acting on them.

With the recent market volatility, have you noticed: when the price drops a little, someone rushes in to go long, fearing to miss the rebound; then it rises again, immediately switching to short, eager to master every wave of the market. Honestly, this kind of trading approach almost guarantees losses.

The biggest difference between trading contracts and gambling is one word—plan. Trading without a plan is like betting real money on probabilities. Having been in this circle for many years, I’ve stepped on more pits than you can imagine. Today, I’ll share 8 painful lessons learned:

**Lesson 1: Keep positions small.** Limit each trade to within 10% of your capital. This is not conservatism; it’s a must for longevity. Staying alive and making money is more reliable than going all-in and hoping for a big win.

**Lesson 2: Set stop-losses.** Once you set your stop-loss level, don’t move it. Don’t keep thinking “just a little more,” because those two words have caused countless people to fail.

**Lesson 3: Follow the trend.** Rebounds, bottom-fishing, catching pullbacks—these are the fastest ways to incur losses. Follow where the market is heading, don’t fight against it.

**Lesson 4: Calculate risk-reward ratio clearly.** The risk taken and expected return should be maintained around 1:3. No one makes money by risking small amounts and losing big.

**Lesson 5: Don’t trade too frequently.** The itch to trade more often increases the chance of mistakes. Impatient traders will be taught a lesson by the market through losses.

**Lesson 6: Missing out is better than making mistakes.** If you only realize you should have entered after the move is over, just let it go. The next opportunity will always come.

**Lesson 7: Mindset reveals true character.** If you lose a lot in a day, stop trading. Don’t keep going; your judgment has already been hijacked by emotions. When you’re in a bad mood, don’t even look at your positions—they’ll cause bigger losses than you think.

**Lesson 8: Technical analysis is ultimately a supporting role.** No matter how sophisticated your technical analysis is, it can’t beat greed. Mindset is the primary productivity factor, and that’s no exaggeration.

The hardest part of trading contracts is never predicting the market correctly; it’s managing yourself.