Cardano (ADA) Bullrun Cycle: When does the next upward movement begin?

The forecast for the upcoming bull run 2024–2025 is based on a detailed cycle analysis of Cardano (ADA) halving events. By comparing historical patterns, meaningful timeframes for future market development can be derived.

Historical Patterns of Previous Bull Run Cycles

The third halving of ADA occurred on May 11, 2020, marking the beginning of a new cycle. Subsequently, a predictable pattern emerged:

• Accumulation Phase: From May 11 to November 20, 2020 — approximately 193 days of consolidation
• Transition Phase: From November 20, 2020, to February 1, 2021 — about 73 days until the bull run officially gained momentum
• Bull Run: From February 1 to September 6, 2021 — a total of 216 days with a strong upward trend

These consistent timeframes form the basis for the forecast of the fourth cycle.

Forecast for Bullrun 4: Expected Time Windows

Based on the fourth halving (April 19, 2024), the following projected phases emerge:

The first accumulation phase is expected to last until early October 2024 and will span approximately six months. This phase is characterized by sideways price movement and capitalization.

Following that is a transition phase of about 2.5 months, similar to the historical pattern. Based on this calculation, the large-scale ascent is expected to begin around December 24, 2024.

The subsequent bull run phase is estimated to last seven to eight months, concluding sometime in summer or early fall 2025.

Current ADA Market Data

As of now, Cardano (ADA) is trading at $0.39 with a 24h change of -0.25%. The market capitalization stands at $14.40 billion, highlighting ADA’s significant position within the ecosystem.

Important Disclaimer

This analysis has been created for informational and entertainment purposes and is based on historical cycle patterns. The mentioned data and timeframes are predictions and should not be regarded as certain facts or investment advice. Cryptocurrency markets are volatile and unpredictable — past patterns do not guarantee future results. Use this information only as one possible approach among many other analysis methods.