Bullish outlook for Bitcoin: understand the geopolitical strategy behind the monetary expansion

Recent analysis by Maelstrom founder, Arthur Hayes, offers an intriguing insight into global dynamics that could drive risk assets in the coming months. According to reports, Hayes identified a strategic pattern involving control over energy resources that, by reducing inflationary pressures, opens space for more expansionary monetary and fiscal policies.

The geopolitical landscape and its market implications

The presented theory suggests that US actions related to Venezuela’s oil resources serve as an inflation containment mechanism. With lower energy prices, monetary authorities gain room to implement stimulus measures without immediate concerns about price pressures. This specific combination—monetary stimulus coupled with controlled energy costs—has historically favored the expansion of nominal GDP.

Why cryptocurrencies are gaining ground in this scenario

When nominal GDP grows rapidly, investors tend to shift toward assets that serve as protection against inflation and currency devaluation. Bitcoin fits perfectly into this profile, as do other high-quality cryptocurrencies. It is in this context that Hayes recommends an aggressive accumulation stance in BTC and tokens with solid fundamentals.

Maelstrom’s strategic focus

Managed by Hayes, Maelstrom is close to reaching its maximum allocation capacity by 2026, suggesting that the window for significant investments is closing. Besides Bitcoin, the fund’s outlook points to emerging narratives—particularly digital privacy represented by coins like ZEC—as the next frontier of interest in its allocation strategy.

This positioning reflects a calculated confidence that the upcoming macroeconomic environment will substantially favor cryptocurrency assets.