#2026年比特币价格展望 $BTC $DOLO $DUSK

Bitcoin drops 36% and everyone starts to bearish? Hold on, historical data proves you wrong.

Recently, Bitcoin has been volatile, and many people are starting to short, claiming a big bear market is coming. But a closer look at the data shows the story isn't as bleak as it seems.

Since the peak of $126,000 last October, Bitcoin has fallen 36% over 95 days. It sounds fierce, but in the context of historical cycles, it's not a big deal—during the cycles of 2013, 2017, and 2021, the peak followed by similar declines ranged from 50% to 70%. This time, it's only 36%, and the entire correction cycle lasted just 46 days, shorter than the 147 days in 2024 and the 77 days of the mid-term pullback in 2025.

More importantly, the price has already broken above the $89,400 50-day moving average, indicating that the bulls have regained control. This is a clear buy signal.

Institutions are also taking action. Strategy recently invested $1.25 billion, increasing their holdings by 13,600 BTC, bringing the total to 687,400 BTC, with an average cost of $75,000—enough to support the market.

After the April 2024 halving, Bitcoin's bull cycle is not over yet. Moreover, the institutional wave has been ongoing for years, and this traditional four-year cycle pattern may have already been broken.

What do you think? Will $80,000 become the real bottom of this correction? Can Bitcoin break through the previous high of $126,000 again this year and set new records?