#美国消费者物价指数发布在即 The divergence between the Federal Reserve Chairman and the US government policies continues to ferment, leading to differing market expectations for short-term interest rates. This high-level policy misalignment often transmits to the crypto market through fluctuations in the US stock market, and tonight's CPI data release may further confirm the upcoming market direction.

From a technical perspective, yesterday's short strategy indeed proved effective—Bitcoin dropped nearly 2000 points, and Ethereum retreated close to 100 points. Today, US stocks opened lower and quickly rebounded, but the crypto prices did not follow through to break the intraday highs, showing overall weakness. This indicates that market sentiment remains cautious. Based on this situation, we maintain the rebound shorting approach, with a focus on tonight's CPI as a key data point.

【January 13 Short Plan】

Bitcoin rebounding to the 92,000-92,500 range can consider short entries, with a stop-loss set around 93,500. The first target is 91,000-90,500; if further breakdown occurs, look near 90,000. If the decline continues, move the stop-loss to lock in profits.

Ethereum at the current price of 3150-3180 can be shorted, with a stop at 3230. Targets are sequentially 3100, 3070, 3050. After breaking support, watch for 3020-3000, and adjust stop-loss accordingly based on the situation.

【January 13 Long Plan】

If Bitcoin retraces to 88,500-89,000, consider a small long position with a stop at 88,000. Upon breaking higher, targets are 90,000, 90,500, and 91,000—these are three key levels.

Ethereum at 2970-3000 can be bought, with a stop at 2930. Targets are 3050, 3070, 3100. After a breakdown, timely stop-loss or trailing stop-loss is necessary to protect gains.

【Key Risk Warning】

US stock valuations are already at historically high levels, which is a fact well known to market participants. Once US stocks experience a significant pullback, the highly correlated crypto market may be dragged down to an unpredictable extent. Currently, the technical outlook is weak, and chasing the rally carries considerable risk. It is recommended to remain cautious and wait for clearer signals from the CPI data and US stock movements before making decisions.