January 14th could become a turning point in the crypto market.

The U.S. Supreme Court is about to deliver a final ruling on the tariff dispute. While it appears to be a legal issue, it will directly impact the bullish and bearish dynamics over the coming months—such an event at this level should not be underestimated.

**If the court rules that the President overstepped:**

Approximately $150 billion in tariffs will need to be refunded to importers, effectively releasing a huge amount of liquidity into the market. Corporate accounts will become more abundant, and Risk-On sentiment will fully activate. $BTC could directly break through the 92,300 resistance level, targeting the 95,000-100,000 range. During such times, US stocks and cryptocurrencies usually rise together, with funds fueling each other.

**The opposite scenario: court supports government actions:**

Tariffs remain long-term, making inflation expectations difficult to dispel. The Federal Reserve’s room to cut interest rates will be severely squeezed. Market risk aversion will intensify—gold has already broken through 4,600, and BTC will face pressure and test the 89,311 level. If it cannot hold, the next support level will be around 85,000.

**But there’s a trap here:**

Don’t be fooled by the pattern of “good news exhausted.” Even if the ruling favors the bulls, the White House can easily switch tactics (for example, by activating Section 232) and try again. Moreover, if BTC fails to rally after the announcement, it could be a signal that the main players are selling into the good news—be cautious of a secondary bottom trap.

The market will fluctuate amid this uncertainty.