Gold's recent rally is truly remarkable. On January 13th, the price surged to a new high of $4,630 per ounce in the early trading session, and is currently hovering around $4,593 per ounce. You might ask why the surge is so strong? There are indeed several factors.
First, the overall environment. The US dollar is under some pressure. The Federal Reserve's actions have raised concerns about its independence, which directly benefits gold. At the same time, global stability is somewhat fragile. Rising geopolitical risks, US military actions against Venezuela, and fluctuations in Iran have all driven safe-haven funds into gold. Additionally, central banks around the world are continuously buying gold, with China increasing its gold reserves for the 14th consecutive month. Moreover, the market strongly expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 2026, which lowers the opportunity cost of holding gold and provides strong support for gold prices.
From a technical perspective, the outlook also looks quite strong. The daily chart shows a large bullish candlestick, with clear bullish moving average alignment. The MACD is still in a golden cross with increasing volume, and the Bollinger Bands are opening upward, with prices running along the upper band, indicating strong bullish momentum. The 4-hour chart shows similar conditions: bullish moving averages, MACD continuing to rise with volume, and although the RSI has entered overbought territory, there are no clear reversal signals yet, so the bullish trend persists. On the hourly chart, things are a bit different: the Bollinger Bands are starting to contract, and the MACD golden cross is narrowing, indicating a weakening of momentum and a potential short-term correction.
Markets always present opportunities; the key is whether you can seize them. This rally is indeed strong, but managing risk and progressing steadily are even more important. Rational analysis, staying in sync with the rhythm—this is how the path to wealth is laid out.
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TokenTaxonomist
· 5h ago
hmm, actually statistically speaking the fed independence narrative is getting overblown here. let me pull up my spreadsheet on this... the real taxonomic issue is whether gold's acting as legitimate store-of-value or just a bubble in a macro dead-end. per my analysis, those central bank buys matter way more than the hourly noise everyone's obsessing over tbh
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fren.eth
· 6h ago
This wave of gold is indeed bullish, but don't be too greedy. The hourly chart is already consolidating.
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GmGmNoGn
· 6h ago
Breaking new highs in gold is indeed exciting, but I'm more focused on the closing signal on the hourly chart... Short-term adjustments really require risk management.
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gaslight_gasfeez
· 6h ago
Gold has indeed been strong this wave, but the hourly chart is already showing signs of correction. Don't chase the highs, brother.
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The central bank is aggressively buying gold, and retail investors should learn from this.
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Breaking 4630 to a new all-time high, what's the next target? Does anyone see 4800 as promising?
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With the geopolitical situation so chaotic, gold's safe-haven properties are truly outstanding. This is a hard asset.
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Concerns over the Federal Reserve's independence are directly bullish for gold. I really understand this logic, no wonder it's so popular.
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Risk control is the most important. No matter how strong the market is, it can't withstand a margin call. I have deep experience with this.
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RSI is still in the overbought zone and hasn't turned around. A short-term correction might come soon. Should we take some profits first?
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Continuously increasing holdings for 14 months, the central bank's move is much more professional than ours. We should follow and buy.
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Oscillating around 4593, is this building momentum or a pullback? Looking for some guidance from the brothers.
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Bullish momentum is strong enough, but I'm a bit nervous about the Bollinger Bands tightening on the hourly chart. Maybe reduce positions first.
Gold's recent rally is truly remarkable. On January 13th, the price surged to a new high of $4,630 per ounce in the early trading session, and is currently hovering around $4,593 per ounce. You might ask why the surge is so strong? There are indeed several factors.
First, the overall environment. The US dollar is under some pressure. The Federal Reserve's actions have raised concerns about its independence, which directly benefits gold. At the same time, global stability is somewhat fragile. Rising geopolitical risks, US military actions against Venezuela, and fluctuations in Iran have all driven safe-haven funds into gold. Additionally, central banks around the world are continuously buying gold, with China increasing its gold reserves for the 14th consecutive month. Moreover, the market strongly expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 2026, which lowers the opportunity cost of holding gold and provides strong support for gold prices.
From a technical perspective, the outlook also looks quite strong. The daily chart shows a large bullish candlestick, with clear bullish moving average alignment. The MACD is still in a golden cross with increasing volume, and the Bollinger Bands are opening upward, with prices running along the upper band, indicating strong bullish momentum. The 4-hour chart shows similar conditions: bullish moving averages, MACD continuing to rise with volume, and although the RSI has entered overbought territory, there are no clear reversal signals yet, so the bullish trend persists. On the hourly chart, things are a bit different: the Bollinger Bands are starting to contract, and the MACD golden cross is narrowing, indicating a weakening of momentum and a potential short-term correction.
Markets always present opportunities; the key is whether you can seize them. This rally is indeed strong, but managing risk and progressing steadily are even more important. Rational analysis, staying in sync with the rhythm—this is how the path to wealth is laid out.