2026-01-13 03:25:56

Bitcoin fell below the $90,250 low on Sunday night, then rebounded above $90,000. Interestingly, analyst Martune recently pointed out that over the past month, Mondays tend to be the most active trading days.

But here’s the question—can this strong Monday momentum really continue? Out of the past five Mondays, four have experienced a surge in funds pushing prices higher, followed by a sudden V-shaped reversal. Those long positions buried below the opening price are mostly forced to close.

From a longer-term perspective, some analysts are starting to call for a Bitcoin bear market. On the other hand, the call for the US to establish Bitcoin reserves by 2026 is growing louder. If that materializes, it could give the market a strong boost and drive Bitcoin prices higher this year.

With $100,000 in sight, but the path forward still uncertain.

Adler Crypto Insights recently shared an analysis, where crypto analyst Axel Adler Jr. used HODL structure and 30-day fund flow data to examine Bitcoin’s holding patterns. The results showed that—long-term holders (over six months) actually increased their share from 43.29% during January 5-11 to 43.69%. Although only a 0.40% increase, this slow transfer of ownership does exist.

Meanwhile, funds preparing to upgrade to long-term holders of over 12 months decreased their transfer share from 2.12% to 1.81%. In other words, more people are holding steady, and new participation is slowing down. What does this mean? Market sentiment is polarized—big holders are sitting tight, while incremental funds are cautious.

BTC0,54%

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MoonlightGamer

· 3h ago

Monday is another V-shaped pattern. How many people are going to get liquidated this time?

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NeverPresent

· 4h ago

Monday is another day to get cut, this routine has been played out. Watching the bulls get trapped and run, I know retail investors will have to pay tuition again. I don't know if the bear market is coming, but if the US really builds Bitcoin reserves, that would be great. But don't expect it this year; this matter is bound to be delayed no matter how you look at it. Long-term holders are hoarding, and newbies are watching on the sidelines. Isn't this just waiting for a catalyst? Ten thousand dollars is right in front of us, who dares to take the plunge?

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bridgeOops

· 4h ago

Monday is about to start the cycle of "pushing hard, trapping people again," so damn annoying. Those who have been through the four V-shaped reversals should have learned their lesson, right? The guys still daring to buy the dip below the opening price are really brave. The Bitcoin reserves in 2026 sound pretty attractive, but it only counts if it actually happens. There are too many people just shouting slogans now. The big players are just sitting there watching the show, and the new funds entering are all scared. This market is really stuck. 100,000 is just within reach, but it feels like it just won't go up, so frustrating. A strong Monday? I lost two months' salary the last time I said that. Want to try again? No thanks. Long-term holders are accumulating, but newcomers are all watching from the sidelines. The market polarization is ridiculously extreme. At this point, entering the market really depends on your mindset.

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