2026-01-13 03:41:16

#美国非农就业数据未达市场预期 Remember that night when Lao Yang burst in with shining eyes—his phone screen clearly showing an account balance of 20,000 USDT. "If I don't make a profit from this wave, I won't rest until I buy a house!" he pounded his chest, his voice trembling with excitement.

Two months later, the story took a turn. He sat on the sofa, staring at the zeroed-out account—mistakenly choosing the wrong direction twice, holding full positions through both. "It's all gone," he whispered hoarsely. After that, he disappeared for three years.

When we met again, he relaxed against the back of the chair, passing over his phone—seven figures in the account. "The daily fluctuations now can match what took a year before," he smiled, "but I can sleep well now."

Most people in the circle have experienced this rollercoaster. Margin calls, black platforms, consecutive losses... At my worst, I had only 3,892 yuan left in my account, barely enough for rent. Those who survive rely on a few ironclad trading rules earned through blood and tears—

**Rapid rise and slow fall are usually manipulated by the big players.** If it surges fiercely like a tiger but falls slowly like a snail, it's just absorption of funds, not a real trend. The true top is always marked by a long, high-volume bearish candle.

**A rebound after a sharp decline is a sugar-coated poison.** You think you've found a bargain, but in reality, it's the "hope bait" laid out by the big players before they offload. Don't reach out—if you do, you'll be caught.

**High-volume at high levels isn't scary; low volume at high levels is deadly.** Volume indicates funds are still fighting; no volume? The scythe has already swung, waiting for you to take the bait.

**Volume at the bottom doesn't count in a single day.** It takes at least three consecutive days of volume to signal real money entering the market. A single day's impulsiveness is just a "scam."

The market has never changed; only the players keep coming and going. Some rush in with passion and get caught at the top; others greedily buy the dip and get buried halfway up the mountain. It's not that people don't try hard—it's that they go the wrong way, with the wrong methods. This market never favors tears; it only rewards understanding.

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TheMemefather

· 01-15 11:48

Old Yang, your storytelling is excellent. The part about disappearing for three years really hit home. Only after a full breakout did I understand what real trading is. Ironically, my sleep quality has actually improved. I agree with the ironclad rule of no volume at high levels; you can't escape until the scythe swings. The fluctuations caused by non-farm payroll data are hardly a big deal. The real test is still mental state management.

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DancingCandles

· 01-15 08:49

Oh no, I know Yang's story too well, it's about us... The part about holding a full position and toughing it out really hits home. Every time I see a rapid rise followed by a slow decline, I reflexively want to run, but I still get caught. How come I can't learn? I've memorized the three-day iron rule of increasing volume at the bottom; I will never go all-in in a single day again. Last time, I almost got caught again because of a fake pump. Seven-figure sleep, but three-figure sleep deprivation every night—who would believe that? Now I'm just waiting for a real bottom signal, gotta hold steady and not reach out... The worst is when there's no volume at high levels and you're still buying in. Cognition truly is the only way out of this market; tears are really worthless.

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JustAnotherWallet

· 01-13 04:10

Old Yang's story really resonated with me; I almost couldn't hold on during the 3892 level. Going all-in and holding firm is truly incredible; it takes ten times to earn back what you lost once. Those trading iron laws indeed come at a bloody cost, but honestly, most people still can't learn them.

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DefiPlaybook

· 01-13 04:06

According to on-chain data, the liquidation rate for this type of highly volatile assets indeed exceeds 80%... But to be honest, Old Yang's theoretical framework still has some flaws. It is worth noting that the volume-increasing long bearish candlestick itself could also be a false signal triggered by derivatives liquidation.

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GasFeeVictim

· 01-13 03:56

Old Yang's recent move is truly a textbook-level rebound. After three years of silence, changing the mindset is the real winning mentality. I used to be that kind of fool who held a full position and tough it out; now I have to take a deep breath when looking at the K-line. Non-farm payroll data really loves to deceive. What seems like good news often turns into a sell-off. I've already learned not to rely on these data anymore.

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TokenomicsDetective

· 01-13 03:48

Old Yang's recent moves really gave me a lesson; going all-in is really no different from gambling. Now I understand that staying alive is more important than making money. Three years to turn things around—that's true vision, unlike when I was brainless and went all-in with no hesitation. I deeply understand the point of high positions with no volume; it took me losing a lot of money to realize this. Seeing him sleep soundly with a seven-figure amount, I felt envious... but it does show that his mindset is in the right place and his understanding has upgraded. The bottom-faking pump-and-dump tactic, I've been caught by it before. Now I look at the volume carefully and only dare to act after three careful considerations. A sharp decline followed by a rebound is really like poison; I kept trying to catch the bottom, only to get slapped in the face every time. Now I see through it. Non-farm payroll data, no matter how unexpected, is just that—data. It still depends on the market action; the data is just a cover. This article is quite insightful, almost mentioning my own margin call order. Blood and tears lessons, everyone. Making money isn't that quick; losing money can happen in just two minutes.

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