How Political Sentiment Shapes TRUMP and MELANIA Memecoin Price Movements: Research Reveals Surprising Correlation

Recent academic research has uncovered an intriguing pattern: the prices of TRUMP and MELANIA memecoins appear to move in tandem with changes in President Trump’s approval ratings. This study, conducted collaboratively by a high school researcher alongside professors from Yale University and the University of Florida, provides fresh insights into how political momentum translates into memecoin market behavior.

The Research Framework

The research team focused on two politically-themed digital assets that emerged shortly before Trump’s January inauguration. By examining price action during pivotal moments of his second term, the researchers were able to track whether these tokens reflected real-time shifts in public sentiment toward the administration. Notably, TRUMP and MELANIA demonstrated measurable positive correlation with approval rating fluctuations, contrasting sharply with mainstream cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ether, which showed no such connection.

Understanding the Correlation

It’s important to clarify what this correlation actually means. The researchers emphasized that a positive correlation with approval ratings doesn’t automatically guarantee rising prices. A memecoin could maintain elevated price levels while approval ratings climb—or decline—as long as the directional movement aligns. In other words, the relationship is about synchronized movement rather than guaranteed returns.

Market Implications and Research Limitations

While the findings are compelling, the study’s authors urged caution. Since TRUMP and MELANIA memecoins have only circulated for approximately 10 months, the data set remains relatively narrow. The researchers noted that longer observation periods would be needed to draw definitive conclusions about whether this correlation will persist over time or prove to be a temporary market phenomenon.

This research underscores the broader memecoin trend where cultural and political narratives can drive market dynamics—a distinct departure from traditional cryptocurrency fundamentals.