#美国消费者物价指数发布在即 Inflation data is out, and the market immediately came to life. Core CPI dropped to 2.6%, which is more moderate than expected—this directly pushed the probability of a rate cut in April up to 42%. The US dollar weakened, and risk assets finally got some breathing room.

Bitcoin is also gradually recovering. Yesterday, ETF saw a single-day net inflow of $117 million, finally breaking free from consecutive days of net outflows. On-chain exchange coin holdings continue to decline, indicating that some people are choosing to hold their coins long-term. However, market sentiment is still a bit conflicted—the greed and fear index is stuck in the "fear" zone, both bulls and bears are holding their breath, and volatility has been pushed to historic lows. This strange calm often signals that a market storm is brewing.

I’ve been proven wrong a few times before, so my current strategy is: during a sideways market, don’t mess around—just watch the charts. The current price structure is stuck between 90k–92k, and any breakout above or below could trigger a chain reaction:

**Upside**: If it breaks through 94k and stabilizes, I’ll look for longs targeting 106k; a pullback would be a good opportunity to add positions. **Downside**: If it falls below 88.7k, I’ll switch to short, and stop-loss should be executed. **Extreme case**: If the main force pushes straight down to the stop-loss zone at 80.5k, I’m actually prepared to take a 30% position.

Short-term resistance is at 91.8k–92k. If it can’t break through, try shorting at 90.6k; if it breaks upward directly, wait for a pullback to go long again.

Overall judgment: fundamentals are improving, and capital flows are recovering, but without a clear breakout, the best strategy is to avoid FOMO and observe more. I need to be a bit cautious this wave—heavy positions lead to sideways moves, and just shorting leads to breakouts—this curse is too punishing🤣 $BTC