The latest US December CPI data has been released, with year-over-year growth of 2.7%, and core CPI at 2.6%, both below market expectations. Upon this news, gold and silver prices surged instantly, while the US dollar index slightly retreated. Traders immediately adjusted their expectations for Federal Reserve policies, with the probability of a rate cut in April soaring to 42%. Although June remains the mainstream market consensus, the overall sentiment has clearly become more active.



However, the path of inflation is still far from smooth. Internal voices within the Federal Reserve remain cautious, with several officials emphasizing the need for more economic data to confirm the trend. Will the tax cuts and AI investment wave push prices higher again? These variables still exist. Is a policy turning point really coming? The market is eagerly awaiting.

From a crypto market perspective, expectations of Fed rate cuts usually increase the attractiveness of risk assets. But the key now is whether inflation can truly be confirmed to have stabilized at a manageable level. Short-term sentiment has already reacted sufficiently, and the medium-term trend still depends on subsequent data. Do you think this rally can continue?
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