The critical moment is approaching. Tonight at 21:30, the US December CPI data will be released, and the market is already at a crucial juncture.

According to expectations, the month-over-month increase will be +0.3%, with core inflation remaining high at 2.7%. This set of data is highly significant—if it exceeds expectations, the market’s anticipation of "interest rate cuts within the year" will be severely undermined. Currently, CME Fed Funds Futures indicate that the probability of rate cuts before June has fallen below the key support level of 30%.

Economic data trends determine the strength of the US dollar. A rising dollar usually means risk assets are under pressure, and volatility in the crypto market will increase accordingly. This is not just a technical rise or fall but also relates to how the macro story for 2026 will be told.

Looking at specific tokens, the short-term performance of mainstream cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin, XRP, DASH, ZEN, etc., will be directly affected by tonight’s data and market sentiment. Technical support may exist, but shifts in macro expectations can instantly change the situation.

It is recommended to remain cautious. After the data is released, closely observe changes in market structure—whether there is a clear directional shift, whether trading volume aligns, and how sentiment indicators evolve. These details reflect the true market turning points more than mere price fluctuations. Blindly chasing gains or panicking to sell often results in getting cut during such high-volatility periods.

Stay calm and let the data speak.