【BTC Technical Analysis: Warning of Trend Reversal Amid Multi-Timeframe Divergence】$BTC

According to the latest charts, BTC is showing a rare divergence between the 1-hour weak structure and the 4-hour strong structure. The 1-hour timeframe clearly indicates a bearish turn: the price (95500) has broken below all short-term moving averages, MACD is accelerating downward below the zero line, and RSI (44.64) shows bearish dominance. Notably, the 1-hour volume has shrunk during the rebound, indicating that the decline has not triggered panic selling.

However, the 4-hour structure presents a different narrative: the price remains above the key support at MA20 (95156), and MA30 (93837) and MA50 (92587) form an ascending arrangement. The 4-hour RSI (57.4) stays in the strong zone, and although MACD shows a death cross, the histogram's contraction is limited—this multi-timeframe divergence usually signals imminent significant volatility.

Key level determinations:

· Bullish lifeline: 4-hour MA20 (95150). Losing this level may trigger medium-term position loosening.
· Bearish acceleration point: 1-hour low at 93636. A break below confirms the continuation of the downtrend.
· Trend reversal signal: Volume expansion to recover 96500 (1-hour moving average cluster + previous low transition point).

Operational strategy suggestions:
Currently, the price is in the neutral zone around 95500, with short-term direction unclear. Two high-probability paths:

1. If a rebound tests the 96300-96500 zone and stalls, consider a small short position (stop-loss at 97000), targeting 94800-93800.
2. If the price directly drops to the support zone at 95150-93800 and shows 4-hour stabilization signals, consider deploying a swing long (stop-loss at 92500), targeting 98000-99600.

(When multi-timeframe technical signals conflict, it is recommended to use small position sizes for testing and add to key levels.)#BTC冲击96,000美元