SOL has been bouncing back and forth between 142 and 145 in recent days, making it hard to tell whether it’s aiming for a breakout or just staying low. Today, the Federal Reserve made new moves, and the 4-hour K-line has reached a critical junction, worth analyzing carefully to see what might happen next.

**Fundamental Outlook**

The new Federal Reserve voting member just clearly stated that there’s no rush to cut interest rates at the moment, and employment issues have become a bigger concern. In plain terms, don’t expect the central bank to loosen monetary policy or stimulate the market in the short term; market liquidity may remain tight. This is somewhat unfriendly to high-volatility assets like SOL, and both institutional and retail investors’ enthusiasm might be cooled down. But on the other hand, she also hinted that if employment data deteriorates to an extreme, policy adjustments could still be possible—leaving some room for change in the second half of the year. In the short term, sentiment might be suppressed first, but the more it’s pushed down, the more likely a strong rebound could be.

**Key Technical Levels**

Looking upward, the 150 level acts like a steel ceiling—if it can’t break through, don’t overthink it. Looking downward, 124 is a solid support, and there’s also the 141 watershed to watch—if it breaks below 141, the downward acceleration could become more obvious.

The MACD is still in a death cross state, but the RSI reading is around 50, indicating that the tug-of-war between bulls and bears has not yet reached a conclusion. This kind of situation is a typical wait-and-see period—whoever makes the first move will gain the upper hand.