2026-01-16 07:23:21

Recently, I've been watching the Bitcoin candlestick chart and suddenly found some interesting points. Over the past couple of days, BTC has been fluctuating around $95,700, with a 1.14% decline yesterday, seemingly entangled around the 95k level.

I have to admit, the current market is indeed driven by policy. Every move by the Federal Reserve influences market expectations, and changes in regulatory attitudes are constantly affecting the nerves of the crypto world. The technical indicators also confirm this — RSI hovers around 59, neither overheated nor oversold, and the narrowing Bollinger Bands indicate decreasing volatility. The market is waiting for a wind to come.

Interestingly, there's a stumbling dance between Bitcoin and the US stock market. The US stocks achieved about a 15% increase in 2025, performing quite well, but Bitcoin only started to gain real momentum at the end of last year. Behind this lag, there may be three reasons:

First, capital rotation. Institutional investors usually allocate funds to traditional assets first, and only after locking in gains do they explore crypto opportunities. Second, risk appetite transmission. As US stocks rise, everyone's confidence grows, but the specific flow into Bitcoin will take some time. Third, the policy transmission mechanism. The impact of macro policies on the market is never immediate, especially in the crypto field.

Now, at the beginning of 2026, Bitcoin is digesting last year's gains while observing whether US stocks will continue to stay strong. If US stocks can maintain this momentum, the opportunity for Bitcoin to catch up is right in front of us.

BTC-1,12%

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AirdropHunter420

· 7h ago

95k, this hurdle is firmly stuck, feels like institutions are just dawdling around As soon as the policy trend shifts, they start dancing along, no technical content at all Let's wait for the US stocks to continue soaring, anyway retail investors can only follow the trend

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PumpBeforeRug

· 7h ago

The 95k level is indeed interesting, but why do I feel like it's the Federal Reserve dancing now, and we're just watching the show? Waiting for the wind to come? I think waiting for death comes faster. Institutions eat the meat first, and we drink the soup. This routine is old and familiar. The US stock market has been rising so well, why is Bitcoin still entangled here? Where's the promised catch-up? Policy transmission, this thing, anyway no one really understands it. The Bollinger Bands narrowing means no one wants to move, waiting for a catalyst. If the US stock market continues to be strong, maybe we can see some action, but don't hold too much hope. Is this wave accumulating chips or诱空? I can't quite see through it. RSI in the middle position is really the most awkward, it can go up or down. Capital rotation? I think it's capital fleeing.

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MissedTheBoat

· 7h ago

95k is so entangling, I should have bought the dip yesterday Institutions are really playing with time differences, retail investors are waiting until they lose all patience When the Federal Reserve makes a move, the crypto market trembles, this is the current situation Wait and see, when will the policy dividends finally reach us Rebound? I feel like I’m just making up for losses haha An RSI of 59 is not at all neutral; it’s actually the easiest to be smashed The US stock market is up 15%, but BTC is still dragging its feet, this gap really feels a bit awkward The so-called capital rotation sounds nice, but in reality, institutions eat the meat first while we drink the soup

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GateUser-7b078580

· 7h ago

The data shows that 95k is just a false support; miners are consuming too much anyway. Wait a bit longer; the historical lows haven't appeared yet. RSI 59 is lukewarm, but what does the decrease in volatility in this wave mean? An unreasonable mechanism will always need adjustment. Observed pattern: capital rotation is delayed by three months? Even with hourly statistics, no precise cycle can be found. Rebound opportunity? Nonsense. In the face of inevitable collapse, these are all illusory expectations. What is behind the 15% rise in the US stock market? Can you see clearly?

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NFT_Therapy

· 7h ago

95k this threshold is really sticky; when policies move, everything moves with them. Institutions are still dabbling in traditional assets, but we can't wait any longer. US stocks are strong, and BTC is catching up; this logic makes sense, just worried the Federal Reserve might cause some trouble again. RSI at 59 is indeed lukewarm; the real question is who can predict policy changes. Capital rotation sounds nice, but in reality, it's just big players eating the meat first while we drink the soup.

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