"I've left all communities and unfollowed those accounts that shout signals every day."
Last week, a fan told me this, and his account had already multiplied five times.
He used to spend 8 hours daily browsing news, chasing quick updates, reading research reports, and listening to opinions. But what happened? He always reacted only after a sharp rise, and when he hesitated, he became the bagholder. Now he changed his approach, spending only 2 hours a week analyzing data, and all three of his decisions hit the entry points perfectly.
The problem isn't a lack of information—quite the opposite—news flashes, analyses, and opinions are everywhere, 99% of which are designed to capture your attention and manipulate your emotions. Most losses aren't due to a lack of market understanding but because you're overwhelmed by junk information that clouds your judgment.
I’ve developed a "Signal Distillation Tower" system, with a simple core idea: don't be a data collection machine; be a data-driven decision-maker.
**Level 1: Focus on on-chain data, they won't lie**
Spend half an hour every Monday checking three types of indicators: net flow trends of BTC and ETH on exchanges (persistent net outflows usually indicate bullishness), total stablecoin market cap changes (growth suggests new funds entering), and the open interest ratio and funding rates of contracts (extreme rates often signal risk or a rebound). These data directly reflect real fund movements.
**Level 2: Track what smart money is doing**
Use on-chain tools to monitor: the top 100 whale addresses (excluding exchanges) for increases or decreases in holdings, institutional ETF holdings, and TVL changes in leading DeFi protocols. Smart money votes with real capital; their long-term positioning is the most reliable indicator of market direction.
**Level 3: Understand the language of technical analysis**
Looking at two charts per week is enough: whether BTC weekly candles are above the EMA20, and the structural trend; check Binance sector rotation heatmaps to see if funds are focusing on certain sectors. This helps you determine what stage the market is in and where the main capital is flowing.
**Level 4: Treat news as unverified noise**
Quick news flashes and KOL opinions? View them as signals, not directives. Only consider them when supported by the first three levels of data. For new stories, see if funds are following, and verify breaking news with on-chain data. Remember: news explains price movements but doesn't determine them.
**Level 5: Summarize signals into a decision checklist**
Every Sunday, spend half an hour consolidating all signals: +1 for positive signals, 0 for no change. Only when three or more strong positive signals appear simultaneously, and there are no obvious negative signals, do you look for an entry point. Otherwise, stay on the sidelines.
The essence of this system is reversing the order of information processing—shifting from passive trend-following driven by emotion to actively analyzing data.
On-chain analysis should be gradual; don’t get overwhelmed by data. Regular summaries are more important than anything. Once you start replacing intuition with rules, and opinions with data, navigating bull and bear markets becomes much easier.
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LazyDevMiner
· 10h ago
This system sounds good, but it just feels like another set of "rules," and in the end, you're still trapped by your own rules.
On-chain data definitely doesn't lie, but who can really stick to only 2 hours of viewing per week without looking more?
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LiquidationOracle
· 10h ago
Wow, this guy is 5x already. I need to reflect on whether I was too greedy for quick gains.
Exiting the community was the right move. Those who call out signals every day are just here to cut the leeks.
On-chain data really doesn't lie. It's much more reliable than listening to KOLs making up stories.
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Blockblind
· 10h ago
I have also exited, now only looking at on-chain data, feels great
Exactly, those people shouting buy signals are just harvesting retail investors
This system has some potential, gotta try it
Multiply by 5? Is it reliable? Feels uncertain
I check news every day, now I feel a bit anxious
The key is to identify which signals are real and which are noise
Are whale addresses really that accurate? Want to give it a try
Reducing news consumption definitely helps me live more easily
Data-driven vs. emotion-driven, this is the core
The more information, the easier it is to get caught; this is so true
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DefiOldTrickster
· 10h ago
Oh wow, someone finally said it. Back in the day, I lost the profit from three houses in a year just by constantly chatting in groups and listening to calls. Now, it's the on-chain data that truly rules.
View OriginalReply0
RunWithRugs
· 10h ago
Damn, this is the real way to break the deadlock. I used to be the kind of fool who刷8小时
Honestly, I feel much clearer after leaving those signal groups
But I'm still a rookie when it comes to on-chain data, I need to learn more
Really, so many people get stuck because of information overload
This system sounds a bit complicated, can it be simplified haha
The key is discipline, that's what I lack the most
Using data to speak is definitely better than listening to gossip
I'm still being controlled by quick news, this guy's method is worth copying
"I've left all communities and unfollowed those accounts that shout signals every day."
Last week, a fan told me this, and his account had already multiplied five times.
He used to spend 8 hours daily browsing news, chasing quick updates, reading research reports, and listening to opinions. But what happened? He always reacted only after a sharp rise, and when he hesitated, he became the bagholder. Now he changed his approach, spending only 2 hours a week analyzing data, and all three of his decisions hit the entry points perfectly.
The problem isn't a lack of information—quite the opposite—news flashes, analyses, and opinions are everywhere, 99% of which are designed to capture your attention and manipulate your emotions. Most losses aren't due to a lack of market understanding but because you're overwhelmed by junk information that clouds your judgment.
I’ve developed a "Signal Distillation Tower" system, with a simple core idea: don't be a data collection machine; be a data-driven decision-maker.
**Level 1: Focus on on-chain data, they won't lie**
Spend half an hour every Monday checking three types of indicators: net flow trends of BTC and ETH on exchanges (persistent net outflows usually indicate bullishness), total stablecoin market cap changes (growth suggests new funds entering), and the open interest ratio and funding rates of contracts (extreme rates often signal risk or a rebound). These data directly reflect real fund movements.
**Level 2: Track what smart money is doing**
Use on-chain tools to monitor: the top 100 whale addresses (excluding exchanges) for increases or decreases in holdings, institutional ETF holdings, and TVL changes in leading DeFi protocols. Smart money votes with real capital; their long-term positioning is the most reliable indicator of market direction.
**Level 3: Understand the language of technical analysis**
Looking at two charts per week is enough: whether BTC weekly candles are above the EMA20, and the structural trend; check Binance sector rotation heatmaps to see if funds are focusing on certain sectors. This helps you determine what stage the market is in and where the main capital is flowing.
**Level 4: Treat news as unverified noise**
Quick news flashes and KOL opinions? View them as signals, not directives. Only consider them when supported by the first three levels of data. For new stories, see if funds are following, and verify breaking news with on-chain data. Remember: news explains price movements but doesn't determine them.
**Level 5: Summarize signals into a decision checklist**
Every Sunday, spend half an hour consolidating all signals: +1 for positive signals, 0 for no change. Only when three or more strong positive signals appear simultaneously, and there are no obvious negative signals, do you look for an entry point. Otherwise, stay on the sidelines.
The essence of this system is reversing the order of information processing—shifting from passive trend-following driven by emotion to actively analyzing data.
On-chain analysis should be gradual; don’t get overwhelmed by data. Regular summaries are more important than anything. Once you start replacing intuition with rules, and opinions with data, navigating bull and bear markets becomes much easier.