2026-01-16 08:30:44

#美国就业数据不及预期 The US unemployment rate slightly declined from 4.6% to 4.4%, which sounds good— but there's a bit of a catch. The labor participation rate hasn't improved much, and wage growth is also slowing, dropping from previous levels to 3.7%.

What does this mean? The market has almost given up on the Fed cutting interest rates in January, and the probability of a rate cut in March has also significantly decreased. The result is an interesting contrast in traditional markets: US stocks are rising against the trend, gold is also climbing, while the US dollar remains strong.

Where is the problem? Companies are becoming more cautious in their hiring, and employment pressure in the real economy is not small. Under this situation, the Fed is likely to remain cautious. Moving forward, we need to closely watch how inflation data and employment trends develop, as this directly affects the rhythm of @BTC@ and the entire crypto market.

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SchrödingersNode

· 16h ago

Unemployment rate drops but participation rate remains unchanged. Is this data just fooling ourselves? The Federal Reserve not cutting interest rates is really tough for the crypto world. BTC's next move depends on how inflation develops. Companies are still laying off or being cautious with hiring; this signal is very obvious. 3.7% wage growth, but actual purchasing power has shrunk again. Working folks' reality. Gold and US stocks are rising, the dollar is strong too. Is the market hedging against some risk? With such tight macro policies, how could there still be hope for rate cuts? Don't dream anymore. Wait for inflation data, that will be the key to the next market move.

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LayerZeroEnjoyer

· 01-16 23:06

Unemployment rate drops but wages are actually slowing down, isn't this just good-looking data that actually sucks? The Federal Reserve's tough policies are about to be extended again, I still have to hold on with my BTC. Gold, US stocks, and the dollar are all rising together; this market move is truly outrageous. Companies are shrinking hiring, making it even harder for low-level workers; in the end, the most miserable are still the retail investors. Let's wait and see the inflation data; it will decide when the crypto market can turn around. Financial weakness can't be hidden by numbers; sooner or later, we have to face reality. The dream of rate cuts is shattered, shorts are winning big, and long-term holders are sweating cold.

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NftBankruptcyClub

· 01-16 09:00

Interest rate cuts are over, and the crypto world is about to go into hibernation again The Fed directly shattered our dreams with this move Wage growth has fallen to 3.7%, ordinary people are even worse off The unemployment rate data looks good but is fake; the labor participation rate remaining unchanged is the real issue US stocks, gold, and the dollar are soaring together, while BTC is trembling in the corner Companies are starting to lay off workers, so what cautiousness are they talking about? They simply dare not move This time, we really have to look at inflation data to see how things go The promised 2025 surge—when will it finally be our turn? The Federal Reserve continues to hold tight; don't expect a rebound in the short term

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0xSoulless

· 01-16 08:45

Unemployment rate looks good, but the labor force participation rate is so low, basically the data is lying. No more rate cuts, the Federal Reserve remains cold and indifferent, and our crypto circle has to wait again. Companies are all downsizing hiring, money is tight... The simultaneous rise of US stocks, gold, and the dollar is a brilliant move, really fooling everyone. They still dare to say that a 3.7% wage growth slowdown is good news haha. Inflation hasn't eased, and the Federal Reserve dares not move, if this pace continues, BTC will be stuck. Big funds have definitely seen through this early on, and we retail investors are still here looking at data and guessing psychology. If you've been cut already, you should learn to become numb.

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