2026-01-16 08:30:57

$BTC Investing is essentially a game of probability. Those who make money in the market look impressive, but think about how many people, like you, missed the opportunity or even got caught at a high point?

Don't be blinded by survivor bias. Looking at it from another perspective, if you gave computers to over a hundred million monkeys to type on keyboards, statistically, one of them would produce a work like "Harry Potter." Many of the seemingly accurate predictions in the crypto world follow this logic—luck generated by random walks is often mistaken for skill.

Next time you see someone bragging about their returns, consider how many losers are silently behind that number. The market will never let everyone make money.

BTC-0,92%

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CounterIndicator

· 9h ago

Honestly, survivor bias is really incredible; the crypto world is acting it out every day.

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BearMarketHustler

· 9h ago

That's right, but we all know it deep down, still gotta play. Really heartbreaking, how many people rely on this little bit of luck to brag. The ones making money are always showing off, those losing money have already deleted the app. Monkey theory is brilliant, the crypto prediction guy is just at this level. I just want to know how many times those who post profit screenshots every day have lost before they finally succeeded. Survivors owe a word of apology to the losers. Anyway, I don't believe in precise predictions, it's all after-the-fact armchair analysis. The true heroes are those who buy at high points, but no one admits it. Luck is disguised as skill, this trick is too deep. In the end, it's just gambler's psychology at work.

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WalletWhisperer

· 9h ago

I think there's nothing wrong with what you're saying, but think about it—how could those who made money possibly stay silent and honest all the time? The bloody history of catching the top—who the hell would voluntarily bring it up and talk about it? On this point, I agree with your survivor bias theory. A bunch of people are bragging about tenfold returns, and I just want to ask—where did those who lost everything go? Is predicting the crypto market accurate? Haha, it's just luck-based gambling. Wait, those monkeys making Harry Potter comparisons are spot on—they hit right at the heart. Really, everyone wants to be that lucky monkey, but most people are actually the ones crushed and killed. Thinking about it this way, we really need to be cautious—don't be brainwashed by success stories. No matter what, we have to admit that most retail investors are really losing money.

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GasOptimizer

· 9h ago

Haha, that's why I never look at others' profit screenshots. Creating an Excel spreadsheet to analyze historical data is more reliable.

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NeverPresent

· 9h ago

That's right, it's just a survivor bias trap. People making money post updates every day, while those losing tend to hide. That monkey theory was brilliant; in the crypto world, these so-called analysts are really just luck in a game of probability. Buying at high prices is real, and clearing out positions to cut losses is also real. Accurate predictions? Ha, these days, there's more talk than actual profit. I just want to ask, why are those calling signals silent when they lose money?

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GasFeeCrier

· 9h ago

That's right, it's just the gambler's fallacy wearing a disguise.

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