2026-01-16 08:31:48

#比特币2026年行情展望 $BTC Recently, this wave of rally has been quite disappointing.

In the early hours of the 15th, it surged to around 97,900. I thought it was about to break through, but it just lost momentum. The bulls simply couldn't gather strength, which says a lot.

Looking at the daily chart, there were consecutive large bullish candles, even breaking above the upper Bollinger Band at one point. But this strong surge failed to open up new space, and now it's actually moving downward. The candlesticks are weakening, and signs of a top are gradually emerging.

The 4-hour timeframe is also quite interesting—bulls repeatedly tested near the lows. After finally concentrating their firepower to lift both the high and low points, the 98,000 level is tightly capped. If it can't break through and stabilize, this counterattack will basically be over. The bears will take over sooner or later.

In the short term, each high is lower than the previous one, and the rebound strength is diminishing. Although it hasn't collapsed rapidly yet, the downward momentum is gradually building, and the pattern looks like "a weak rebound followed by continued decline."

Based on the rhythm across different timeframes, a pullback after a rally is highly probable. The medium to long-term outlook remains bearish.

**Possible trading strategy:**
Enter short positions in batches within the 96,500-97,500 range, with the first target at 90,000. If broken, keep an eye on 87,200-84,500. Don't be greedy with your position; control it within 3%-5% to avoid getting hurt by short-term volatility.

$BTC

BTC0,05%

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

15 Likes

Reward
15
5
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

metaverse_hermit

· 14h ago

97,900 is stuck, this time the bulls are indeed a bit weak, it seems like a pullback is coming. --- It's the same old trick, higher highs are getting lower and lower, bears will take over sooner or later. --- The upper band of the Bollinger Bands can't even be broken, this wave of market movement is really boring, looks like we have to wait for a correction. --- 98,000 is deadlocked, the bulls clearly have no strength this wave, preparing to short. --- Continuous big bullish candles can't hold up, it will fall quickly, I am also considering entering a short at 96,500. --- This rally is just false fire, the weakening of the candlesticks indicates a problem, just as I predicted before. --- Breaking 87,200 is still okay, but don't be greedy with positions, 3 to 5 points are enough. --- Always talking about breakthroughs, but it's getting boring, this is the market.

View OriginalReply0

PonziDetector

· 14h ago

It's the same old trick again. If you can't break through, you have to run. This is all the bulls can do.

View OriginalReply0

PanicSeller

· 14h ago

97,900 is the ceiling; I knew it couldn't break through. With such poor bulls, do they still want to take over? --- It's dropping again, this time I really feel there's no hope. --- Stuck at 98,000 and can't get through, so annoying. Just short it. --- The highs are getting lower and lower; this rhythm clearly indicates a crash. No wonder the author is bearish. --- I also think this wave is boring; it's just not interesting. --- Can't even break above the upper Bollinger Band; still want to rise? Don't be ridiculous. --- The calm before the drop, observing. --- The bears should step in now; the bulls are really out of energy. --- Enter short at 96,500, betting on 90,000. --- Each rebound is weaker and weaker; this is a sign of a potential breakdown.

View OriginalReply0

MEVvictim

· 14h ago

97900 this level really can't be pushed up, I knew something was going to happen. Another false alarm, the bears should take over. The upper band of the Bollinger Bands is broken but it still can't break through, this is ridiculous. Getting stuck at 98000 is really heartbreaking, the bulls really lack momentum. The highs are getting lower, this signal is too obvious, it's time to run.

View OriginalReply0