2026-01-16 09:20:51

A set of on-chain data just came out, and when measured with the PSIP indicator, the results are quite interesting. If 2026 truly enters a bear market cycle, Bitcoin's bottom could be in the range of $62,000 to $72,000. What does this mean? Simply put, the market's average holding cost is continuously rising, and more and more large funds and long-term participants are actively re-pricing Bitcoin's "bottom." The deep bear markets that once saw levels of $20,000 to $30,000? It now seems almost impossible for them to happen again.

A deeper signal is this: future market volatility will become routine, but extreme one-sided crashes are being compressed. From another perspective, you need to learn how to survive in an environment of "high-level oscillation." Those old tricks—full positions in a bull market, avoiding during bear markets—are becoming less effective. Those who truly understand the market are already working on a different approach: a way to profit steadily regardless of how the market swings.

Imagine if the market really enters a phase of "not falling deep, waiting for rises"—then whether your assets can generate continuous income during this period becomes especially important. Do you idle and wait for the next wild rally, or do you let your holdings start working immediately? This is a question that requires serious consideration.

BTC-0,42%

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BloodInStreets

· 9h ago

6.2K to 7.2K bottom? It sounds like the big players are really pushing the price up. The golden age of bottom-fishing in a bear market is over. Now, it's time to figure out how to make gains in the volatility. Instead of waiting for the next sharp drop, it's better to let the coins actually move. This strategy is becoming more and more competitive; just going all-in and lying flat is already out of date. Bottom re-pricing works like this: retail investors' pain points become the new normal for institutions.

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PessimisticOracle

· 10h ago

6.2K to 7.2K? The bottom pricing seems to be getting higher and higher. Are the big players really reshaping the game rules?

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ContractFreelancer

· 10h ago

6.2K to 7.2K? The bottom line is raised so high, those two or three thousand dreams should wake up. --- Hiding in full positions with this outdated strategy is no longer effective; you need to think about how to profit from volatility. --- Leaving coins idle is really a loss; they need to generate cash flow. --- Is the data from PSIP reliable? Or is it just another misleading indicator? --- It sounds nice, but actually, coins are getting more expensive, and retail investors find it harder to buy the dip. --- The bear market of 2026 is already here, and you still want stable profits? Tell me how to do it safely. --- Instead of waiting for prices to rise, why not focus on liquidity income? Anyway, it's just sitting idle. --- Surviving in high-volatility periods? No wonder people have been playing LP and lending for over two years.

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OnchainDetectiveBing

· 10h ago

6.2K to 7.2K? The bottom lift is really becoming more and more obvious. Wait, what do those who went all-in on the dip say now? Sideways movement at high levels is the norm. Both bulls and bears need to make money to survive. That’s the real skill. It's better to earn some yield than let your coins gather dust. The era of lying flat is over. Last year, I still wanted to wait for 20K, now it all seems like wishful thinking haha. Large funds are setting the price. Retail investors are just happy to catch some crumbs. The holding cost keeps rising, no wonder it feels more and more competitive. Can you make money no matter where it drops? Wake up, how tough do you think that is?

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LuckyBearDrawer

· 10h ago

620,000 to 720,000 position? It feels like the bear market bottom has been artificially lifted, and the big players are redefining "cheap." --- Interesting, it seems that in the future there will really be no extreme market conditions, and everyone will have to learn to harvest profits in calm waters. --- That's right, the old strategy of hiding in bullish and bearish positions should have been eliminated long ago. Those still using it are bound to be crushed by the times. --- I just want to know, when the market reaches high levels and oscillates repeatedly, holding onto my coins without action is really a waste. --- Rising from the bottom is actually quite cruel, meaning the cheap entry tickets from previous waves are gone. --- Continuous profits sound good, but it's easier said than done. Most people are still betting on the market trend. --- Idle waiting vs. making coins work, this is indeed a problem, but you also need to find the right pool for the work.

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GamefiHarvester

· 10h ago

6.2K to 7.2K? Sounds like the bottom is about to be pushed up again, the fate of seasoned traders. --- This time, we really can't just lie flat and wait; we need to get the coins moving. --- Repricing at the bottom, honestly, is just big funds cutting retail investors' hopes, haha. --- In high volatility, what I fear most is frequent stop-losses; one misstep and you become the bagholder. --- The dreams bought at two or three thousand are dead now; I have to learn to survive at this price level. --- Instead of idle waiting for the market, it's better to do some DeFi or staking, it's definitely better than just waiting around. --- The old strategy of full positions in a bull market and hiding in a bear market is really outdated, but I haven't figured out the new tricks yet. --- 6.2K as the bottom? Interesting, but I have no more money to buy the dip anyway. --- This logic sounds like encouraging us not to be idle and to let assets appreciate, but who bears the actual operational risk? --- Holding coins in hand is the safest, at least you won't get liquidated by a contract; I don't trust other returns.

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