Trading ultimately tests a person's ability to 'exit alive.'

Recently, many people want to know my views on the 2026-2029 cycle. So I organized my thoughts into a set of operational frameworks.

Basically, there are three key points:

**Price Support Point**: The $44,780 line isn't a hard bottom, but it's my psychological anchor. If the price drops below this, consider positioning; if it stays above, control your desires.

**Policy Support Point**: Interest rates are the real traffic light. When interest rates go down, the market has opportunities; when they rise, reduce your positions gradually—don't gamble.

**Risk Support Point**: Always keep 30% cash reserves. This money serves three purposes—dealing with unexpected life events, bottom-fishing at extreme lows, and most importantly—giving yourself the confidence to refuse to be forced to sell your coins.

Stable profits aren't that hard; what's difficult is actually executing these ideas. Knowing is easy, doing is hard—that's the difference between rookies and winners.