2026-01-16 09:30:08

Here are my thoughts on the future market. Since November, my attitude towards BTC has been quite cautious—mainly focusing on shorting, with long positions serving as an auxiliary.

Now, we need to recognize a reality: the 100,000 to 110,000 range is filled with trapped chips. Since the main players have already dumped these chips onto retail investors, it’s not going to be easy to get out of the trap. These institutions are not running charities.

In the short term, the market structure indeed shows a bullish pattern, but this is precisely the most dangerous time. Remember the 944 to 938 line—any break below this level at any time will immediately reverse the bullish structure into a bearish one. That will be the real test.

So, the current strategy is: keep an eye on this support line, and once it breaks, quickly adjust your mindset.

BTC-0,42%

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GasFeeTears

· 9h ago

Once the 944-938 line is broken, we have to run. Don't get stuck on solving the trap.

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AirdropHunterXM

· 10h ago

Line 944-938 is indeed critical; if it breaks, it's really over.

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MEVvictim

· 10h ago

That line at 944 really needs to be watched closely; once it breaks, it's a slaughterhouse.

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BitcoinDaddy

· 10h ago

At the moment 944 to 938 broke through, I went all-in on a short position directly and got a big slap in the face. Institutions are playing this trick really well; retail investors are always the last to be cut. It looks bullish, but in reality, it's a scythe trapping people; just wait and see. This wave really requires us to hold the defensive line well, or it will be painful if broken through. It was correct to be bearish in November, but I didn't expect the rebound to be so fierce. To help retail investors get out of trouble? Ha, the day institutions act like philanthropists is a joke. Watching 944, once it breaks down, I'll run away and won't play with you anymore. Brothers caught between 100,000 and 110,000, just wait for the breakdown.

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FunGibleTom

· 10h ago

944 to 938, if it breaks I will run. I really can't see through this wave; institutions are just playing with heartbeat.

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ChainComedian

· 10h ago

Institutions are playing this trick so skillfully, retail investors are still dreaming.

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GasWastingMaximalist

· 10h ago

I'm also watching that 944 level. If it breaks, I really need to run; don't compete with institutions on resilience.