2026-01-16 15:36:50

The latest odds on Polymarket reveal a significant reshuffling in the race for the next Federal Reserve chair. Warsh has solidified his position as the frontrunner, extending his lead in recent trading activity. Meanwhile, Hassett has experienced a notable decline in market sentiment, dropping below Waller in the prediction stakes.

This shift reflects how crypto-native prediction markets are increasingly capturing real-time consensus on major economic policy decisions. Traders on Polymarket are essentially pricing in their expectations about which candidate the Trump administration might select for the influential Fed leadership role. The market's tendency to update rapidly based on new information makes it a useful barometer for gauging how informed participants perceive the likelihood of different outcomes.

The movement in these odds underscores the broader trend of decentralized platforms becoming tools for processing and aggregating beliefs about high-stakes decisions—even those traditionally confined to traditional finance and government circles.

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SillyWhale

· 9h ago

Warsh is solid this time, Hassett directly dragged down, the prediction market really knows how to talk Polymarket's team is insanely fast, they adjust their positions immediately after news breaks, even more agile than Wall Street Fed chair decisions are such big events that they dare to bet on them, Web3 players really aren’t afraid of trouble... Feels like the crypto market understands policy better than CNN, hilarious People who previously supported Hassett are now getting slapped in the face, the market is ruthless

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ApyWhisperer

· 01-16 16:03

Warsh is back, Hassett has been abandoned, a typical Polymarket pump-and-dump script. Polymarket really dares to bet on anything, even the Fed Chair can be used for play. Traders have strong pricing ability, but honestly, the information sources are just so-so, don’t trust too much. Decentralized oracles sound grand, but frankly, they are just a gathering of gamblers. This time, who becomes the Chair is not a big deal; the key is when the timing to short the dollar will come. Recently, there have been frequent moves with this money, approaching real expectations. Are Polymarket players so clever, or is there some new information being hyped again?

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TokenTherapist

· 01-16 16:00

warsh真的要起飞了，polymarket这帮人嗅觉还是灵啊 hassett怎么就突然掉队了，之前还以为稳的... 链上预测市场这东西真的越来越有意思，比传统民调快多了 fed主席这种大事儿都能在链上定价，我们是真的活在未来呢 polymarket上的聪明钱往往没错，值得跟一下

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UnruggableChad

· 01-16 15:58

warsh这波稳了，hassett直接被砸穿了哈哈 polymarket这帮人在赌fed主席，比华尔街嗅觉还灵预测市场就这点爽，一有风吹草动立马调仓，比传统金融快多了这说明啥呢，链上力量真的开始定价了 Hassett的滑落有点惨啊，市场就是这么无情 fed主席的选择权在川普，但市场在抢先定价，可以 polymarket这类东西，感觉越来越像真正的信息市场了 Warsh起来了Hassett就得掉，博弈就这样

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MechanicalMartel

· 01-16 15:57

warsh this wave is really stable, the gamblers on polymarket have all placed their bets --- hassett has fallen quite badly... feels like the trend has shifted --- Prediction markets are like this, as soon as the information comes out, adjustments are made immediately, nothing surprising --- Retail investors are all playing the Fed Chair gambling game on polymarket, the world has gone crazy --- waller has actually risen? Is there insider information or is it really just market feedback --- Decentralized stuff finally can be used for something... previously it was all about crypto trading --- Will Trump really listen to polymarket... I doubt it

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MetaNeighbor

· 01-16 15:41

Warsh has directly taken off, this market's sense of smell is really sharp... How did Hassett fall behind? Polymarket's reaction speed is incredible, much faster than old-school Wall Street dinosaurs. Big events like the Fed chair appointment can be priced on-chain, it feels like traditional finance is really about to be disrupted. Hassett was quite stable a couple of days ago, now he's dropping out of the top three. The market's change of face is too fast. Wait, is this betting on Trump's decision? Feels a bit crazy haha. Is Warsh's position stable? Will there be a reversal?

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