2026-01-17 20:44:09

A "top player" account has been discovered on a certain prediction market. This trader's level of professionalism is quite astonishing—over the past 5 months, they have accumulated more than $260,000 in profits through market trading, with a consistent hit rate of around 80%.

His trading logic is so simple it's almost extreme: doing only one thing. No chasing hot topics, no touching sports, and definitely no involving politics—just obsessively focusing on the market dimension of "the social media posting frequency of a well-known entrepreneur."

This "focus monster" style of trading is very inspiring. In the information explosion of the crypto market, most traders are busy chasing trends, following hot topics, and analyzing various indicators. But he instead builds a stable predictive ability by intensely focusing on a single variable. This shows that in the competition of market prediction trading, depth often outweighs breadth.

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just_another_fish

· 3h ago

Wow, 260,000 in 5 months, 80% hit rate? This guy really treats entrepreneurs as trading assets haha

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MevHunter

· 3h ago

Damn, this guy just focusing on one entrepreneur's tweet frequency can make 260,000? This logic feels a bit shady to me haha Depth > Breadth, there's nothing wrong with that, but honestly, in this market, it's probably survivor bias 80% hit rate is stable... I believe half of it, let's see how long he can hold on This level of focus is indeed incredible. If it were me, I would have been overwhelmed by various noises and lost focus Awesome is awesome, but I feel like the sample size is too small. Can it be replicated? Relying on a single variable is very easy to arbitrage, sooner or later, he'll get caught I'm a bit interested in studying this approach, but I always feel something's off

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GateUser-1a2ed0b9

· 3h ago

Ha, this guy simply guessed the right dimension. 260,000 in five months is really possible. But I still think relying on a single variable for trading is too fragile. Once that entrepreneur changes their posting habits, it's gg. Honestly, in market prediction, can you really just rely on stubbornly sticking to one indicator to win? Feels like the risk is hidden quite deep. This is what’s called depth being better than breadth. Indeed, some people make money by focusing extremely narrowly. But I definitely wouldn’t dare to play that way. A 80% hit rate sounds impressive, but past performance ≠ future returns. Be aware of that. Suddenly thought—could this logic be applied to other fields? Feels like market prediction is just an amplified version of gambler’s psychology. A bit outrageous—just by watching someone’s tweet frequency, you can make so much money? Maybe I should find some strange dimension to dig into too. That’s called specialization. They’ve found their moat. We’re still fully in on copycat coins.

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WhaleSurfer

· 3h ago

Huh? Really? You can earn 260,000 just by monitoring someone's tweet frequency? I need to think more about this logic. Depth over breadth, this really hits the point, but it also seems easy to over-optimize into a gambler's mentality. A single variable with an 80% hit rate... I always feel like there's something I haven't understood here. Is this guy really focused or just a survivor within a lucky cycle? Who knows. But if you can really achieve stable profits based on just one dimension, I should study it more. It seems much more reliable than blindly chasing hot topics.

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