Greenland has recently become a sudden focus. Trump issued a strongly worded statement accusing countries such as Denmark, Norway, Sweden, France, Germany, the UK, the Netherlands, and Finland of frequent activities in the region, claiming that this poses a global security threat and that decisive action is needed to stop it.

The EU's response was also swift. On the 18th, the EU urgently summoned ambassadors from member states in Brussels, partly to coordinate responses to the Greenland issue and also to discuss the new round of US tariff threats. Such high-level emergency meetings often indicate the complexity of the situation.

Interestingly, the crypto market seems to be "digesting" this event. On the prediction market Polymarket, the odds of "Trump acquiring Greenland before 2027" jumped from around 6% to 20%. This surge in probability reflects market participants' new understanding of the development of related events.

From the perspective of crypto investors, such geopolitical conflicts are often closely related to liquidity changes. Once tariffs are actually implemented, the European economy may face pressure, the euro could weaken, and international capital flows might change. Historical experience is telling — during the trade tensions in 2022, BTC dropped from $60,000 to $20,000, with a brutal decline.

However, there is a turning point this time: if all parties reach an agreement and the tariff threats are resolved, BTC, as a risk asset, might have a chance to breathe, and could even break through the $100,000 mark. Conversely, if the EU's response exacerbates tensions, and the trade war truly escalates, market risk appetite will decline, and BTC's performance is likely to be pressured. Every step of the subsequent development could rewrite the short-term trend of the crypto market.