2026-01-18 09:30:31

Can the Breakthrough of ETH Key Levels Continue? Let's Look at the Logic Behind This S+ Level Bullish Signal

These days, I've been watching ETH's 4-hour chart and found an interesting opportunity point. The technical analysis has given an S+ level bullish signal. Let's break down the details.

**Current Entry Strategy**

The trading pair is naturally ETHUSDT, with the timeframe locked at 4 hours. The entry price is set around 3300.140, and the suggested position size is controlled at 1.3% — this position ratio is quite conservative and aligns with standard risk management practices.

The signal itself has been rated S+, with a success probability marked at 61%. The validity period is from 2026-01-18 16:25:08 to 2026-01-19 00:25:08, which is a 480-minute window.

**How to Manage Risks**

Stop-loss is set at 3250.637, with a risk margin controlled at 1.50%. This stop-loss level is relatively tight, meaning the cost of a misjudgment won't be too high.

**Three Take-Profit Levels**

First target: 3374.393, with a risk-reward ratio of 1.5:1;
Second target: 3423.895, increasing the ratio to 2.5:1;
Third target: 3498.148, with a maximum profit space of 4.0:1.
This stepwise take-profit design allows you to lock in profits gradually.

**Why Choose This Level**

Technical factor analysis points to key swing high levels, medium-strength key levels, and support/resistance levels that have been tested multiple times. The entry condition shows a key level strength of 65%, which has been tested 22 times. From a data perspective, this is a solid entry point.

**A Quick Look at Technical Details**

Signal strength score: 97/100 — definitely very high.
Trend aspect is interesting — currently in a consolidation phase, with ADX strength only at 23.3, indicating the trend isn't very strong. Volume performance is relatively weak, with decreasing volume, and the main volume ratio is only 0.1x, showing a relatively stable price movement.

Order book analysis shows a buy/sell ratio of 3.35:1, with bulls in the lead. Market sentiment is neutral to slightly bearish, with a long/short ratio of 1.45:1, indicating a slightly bearish trend.
Moving regression upper band at 3435.473, lower band at 3148.445, and Fibonacci 0.618 level at 3325.828.

**Frank Risk Warning**

Cryptocurrency markets are indeed highly volatile. Never go all-in. Be sure to set a stop-loss — no matter how attractive the signal looks, stop-loss is essential for survival. This analysis is for reference and learning purposes only; specific trading decisions should be made based on your own risk tolerance.

ETH0,34%

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CryptoCross-TalkClub

· 5h ago

Laughing out loud, S+ level signals have only a 61% success rate, which is even lower than my homework passing rate. --- ADX is only 23.3 but dares to shout breakout? Isn't this just a fake move in a consolidation? --- 1.3% position size, are you afraid I'll make too much money and can't sleep? --- 480-minute window period, I estimate I haven't even reacted before my position gets liquidated. --- Emotionally neutral but leaning bearish, yet stubbornly shouting bullish, I give this logic a full score. --- Respect for this analysis, even more outrageous than my last crypto joke. --- Buying and selling ratio of 3.35:1, and still dare to enter? Isn't this just an art of getting cut? --- Stop loss at 1.5%, profit ratio 4:1, I don't believe you, next second you'll cut my leeks.

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InfraVibes

· 6h ago

Wait, does a 61% win rate really mean that much? Shrinking volume and still pushing hard, isn't that just gambling?

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GasFeeNightmare

· 6h ago

Haha, another S+ signal. I bet five gwei, and this time it's just a false alarm. Wait, 61% success rate? Isn't that just a bit better than flipping a coin... A 1.3% position size is indeed cautious enough, so I don't have to stay up late monitoring the market and risk a heart attack. The key is that 480-minute window. As a night owl, I’ll be staying up late again. Are gas fees expensive? For the 22 tested positions, it sounds impressive but I still don't trust it. I said the same thing last time. The 3.35:1 buy/sell ratio and the 1.45:1 long/short ratio don't quite match; these numbers are a bit off-putting. Honestly, I can accept a stop loss at 3250, but I'm just worried the market might jump past it in one move.

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