Recently, ETH spot ETF performance has been good, with net inflows exceeding $470 million for four consecutive days. This data indicates that real money is entering the market. At the same time, the staking rate has reached 29.4%, meaning 35 million ETH are locked in staking, which provides support from the supply side. Additionally, the Cancun upgrade to the mainnet is scheduled to be implemented later this month, and the Layer 2 ecosystem benefits are expected to gradually transmit to ETH.



From a technical perspective, the daily chart shows a triangle convergence pattern, currently oscillating around 3280. Interestingly, this correction wave is weaker than previous ones—support was found after a 150-point retracement from the high, demonstrating strong bullish resilience.

Key levels to watch: support below at 3230 and 3180, resistance above at 3350 and 3400. If the price breaks through 3400, it could potentially surge towards 3580. Conversely, if it falls below 3230, then the 3150 support zone becomes critical.

In the short-term strategy, the market remains bullish. During pullbacks, small positions can be tested, but chasing rallies should be avoided. The key focus is whether 3350 can be effectively broken, as this will determine the subsequent momentum.
ETH0,34%
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gas_fee_therapistvip
· 4h ago
This staking rate data is really quite attractive. With such a large locked amount, how can it still fall? The continuous net inflow of ETFs indicates that institutions have truly returned, unlike last year's bluff. I'm just worried that the Cancun upgrade might again be a case of expectations mismatch. When the positive news is finally realized, it might actually lead to a sell-off. Breaking 3350 seems difficult for now, and it might take some more time. This market isn't as urgent as it seems. Is the bullish resilience strong? I think mainly because no one dares to short too aggressively. If it really drops, the 3230 level might not hold. Right now, it's a gamble whether the Cancun upgrade can bring some real demand to L2. Just having staking and locking isn't enough.
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GateUser-ccc36bc5vip
· 4h ago
4.7 billion net inflow definitely indicates something, institutions are quietly accumulating positions The 3350 level needs to be watched closely; only if it breaks can we say there's hope ahead With such a high pledge rate, I'm actually a bit worried about the risk Can the Cancun upgrade be implemented to trigger a rally? Now, it's really uncertain Don't be fooled by this rebound; just try a small position to test the waters 3280 has been fluctuating for a while; it feels like it still needs to gather strength
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quiet_lurkervip
· 4h ago
470 million inflows sound impressive, but it depends on how long the holdings last. Money from the casino comes in quickly and goes out just as fast. A high staking rate does provide some support, but 29.4% is still far away. Don't get too imaginative. Kankun upgrade? How long have I been saying this? When exactly will it happen? If I can't break the 3350 level, I'll just give up and lie flat. This wave of ETF's crazy capital inflows, institutions are testing the waters. Don't get overly excited.
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ZKProofEnthusiastvip
· 5h ago
470 million inflows are indeed interesting, but I'm more concerned about whether such a high staking rate might have any hidden risks.
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DeepRabbitHolevip
· 5h ago
470 million in real cash, this time the institutions are really here, not the kind of tactics that cut leeks.
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