🟢 Scenario 1: LOWER-than-expected PCE (good for crypto) • Inflation clearly cooling down • FED has less reason to be hawkish ➡️ ETH / BTC likely TO RISE
But: • First 5–15 minutes prone to sharp moves / stop hunts • Then the trend begins
⸻
🔴 Scenario 2: HIGHER-than-expected PCE (bad for crypto) • Inflation remains high • FED keeps interest rates high longer ➡️ ETH likely TO DROP SHARPLY, possibly breaking support
⸻
🟡 Scenario 3: PCE as expected • Market technical analysis • Potential sideways movement – fake break
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$ETH 🧠 3 SCENARIOS & IMPACT ON ETH
🟢 Scenario 1: LOWER-than-expected PCE (good for crypto)
• Inflation clearly cooling down
• FED has less reason to be hawkish
➡️ ETH / BTC likely TO RISE
But:
• First 5–15 minutes prone to sharp moves / stop hunts
• Then the trend begins
⸻
🔴 Scenario 2: HIGHER-than-expected PCE (bad for crypto)
• Inflation remains high
• FED keeps interest rates high longer
➡️ ETH likely TO DROP SHARPLY, possibly breaking support
⸻
🟡 Scenario 3: PCE as expected
• Market technical analysis
• Potential sideways movement – fake break