Recently, some analysts have started focusing on technical analysis, suggesting that XRP might surge to $0.48 during the period from January 12-20. The key point is that the support level at $0.42 has already been broken, and trading volume has significantly increased. These signs are indeed quite interesting. From a technical indicator perspective, although the RSI has entered the overbought zone, there are no signs of a reversal yet, and the 200-day moving average continues to serve as a strong support. More notably, the influx of institutional funds has increased by 37% month-over-month, indicating that large investors are paying attention to XRP. Some traders also pointed out a head and shoulders bottom reversal pattern, which, if the critical resistance level is broken, could trigger a rally to catch up. What’s intriguing is that this analysis mainly focuses on technical aspects rather than regulatory news, yet the actual progress of the Ripple ecosystem is not very fast. The analyst’s call for $0.48—what are they betting on? Are they betting on Bitcoin dragging the entire market up, or is there another consideration? But the risks must be clearly stated: no matter how beautiful the technical analysis looks, it cannot change the future. Once the support at $0.42 is broken, the situation could reverse immediately. The US SEC’s lawsuit against XRP still hangs over it, and policy black swans could strike at any time. Plus, with the overall crypto market sentiment currently subdued, a sudden surge in a single coin requires caution to prevent the risk of a pump-and-dump. What do you think about this rally? Can XRP break the psychological barrier of $0.5?

XRP has been dropping sharply lately, but there's some interesting movement recently. Looking at the 4-hour chart, the lows are no longer breaking lower, indicating that selling pressure is clearly weakening. Although the MACD indicator is still below the zero line, the histogram is shrinking, which usually signals that the downward phase is nearing its end. Don't rush to call a reversal; this looks more like a technical rebound after being oversold. Understanding this is crucial, or you might mistake the rebound wave for the main upward trend, only to get burned. From the capital flow perspective, there has been consistent accumulation between 1.90 and 1.95, forming a bottom zone. Now that the price has pushed above 2.00, the first real resistance is around 2.05—this area previously saw very high trading volume. For short-term trading, if the price retraces to 1.96-1.98 and can hold steady, you can consider participating in the rebound, with a stop-loss set at 1.92. The upward target is around 2.10 to 2.15. Once reached, it’s important to take profits promptly and avoid chasing greed.

Have you ever thought about it? In the prediction list of a top investment bank's super IPO forecast, after space exploration companies and AI giants, the next big thing could be a crypto enterprise. If Ripple truly launches this "Ninth Major IPO" in 2026, what will happen to your XRP holdings then? Recently, a report from an institution gained attention, listing the top IPOs that could shake the market in the future. Space companies with a valuation of $1.5 trillion took the top spot, AI unicorns followed with a valuation of $830 billion, and Ripple was included with an estimated valuation of $50 billion. If this comes true, it will elevate the recognition of the crypto sector within traditional finance to a new level. The subsequent question hits hard: if the parent company goes public with a $50 billion market cap, how should the related digital asset XRP be valued? The market will definitely go into a frenzy, with all kinds of speculation and hype opportunities emerging, and price fluctuations could become wildly unpredictable. Under this big narrative-driven outlook, ordinary investors are actually caught in an old dilemma: are you betting on a "possibility" of the future, or are you surfing a wave of uncontrollable market trends? But if we think deeper, there's a more core issue: when these grand narratives (IPO, ETF, or halving) finally come true, can our assets be more than just "concept bets," but truly appreciate day by day? That is the real direction worth contemplating.