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Federal Reserve Has 77% Probability of Keeping Rates Unchanged in July

2026-07-06 00:00:42

According to market data cited by Odaily, the Federal Reserve is expected to keep rates unchanged in July with a 77% probability, with a 23% probability of a 25 basis point increase. Looking ahead to September, market pricing shows a 41.9% probability of holding rates steady, 47.6% probability of a 25 basis point increase, and 10.5% probability of a 50 basis point increase.

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