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Goldman Sachs Forecasts Two 25bp Rate Hikes for South Korea in Q3, Q4 2026 Amid AI Export Boom

Forex AI Industry News

2026-05-11 05:05:50

According to Goldman Sachs economists led by Tilton, South Korea's central bank faces pressure to raise rates by 25 basis points each in the third and fourth quarters of 2026, driven by surging chip and AI-related exports. The bank predicts AI-related exports could triple this year, reaching nearly 30% of GDP, while non-tech exports remain weak due to regional oversupply and energy shocks. Goldman Sachs noted the K-shaped recovery suggests the need for targeted fiscal policy, with currency appreciation expected as AI-driven exports accelerate.

Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third-party sources and is for reference only. It does not represent the views or opinions of Gate and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Virtual asset trading involves high risk. Please do not rely solely on the information on this page when making decisions. For details, see the Disclaimer.

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