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Grayscale Says Bitcoin May Bottom by October or Has Already, Depending on Fed Policy

Price Prediction

2026-07-24 23:52:04

BTC-1.63%

According to Grayscale, today, the cryptocurrency firm released analysis suggesting bitcoin's bear market bottom depends on Federal Reserve policy rather than traditional four-year halving cycles. Head of research Zach Pandl outlined two scenarios: the historic model predicts a bottom in September or October with continued weakness, while a macroeconomic framework suggests the bottom may have already formed if the Fed avoids rate hikes and U.S. growth remains stable through 2026. Grayscale argues that institutional demand and changing monetary conditions now matter more than bitcoin's supply schedule.

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